NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	87		Excitement	6.8 [487]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (ORL): +17.9%
Orlando Magic	74		Comeback	3.3 [561]		LVP	Serge Ibaka (ORL): -22.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	15	41%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	17	50%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.08	-0.00	9	45%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.00	14	56%	0.07	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.02
Dante Exum	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.08	0.00	8	25%	-0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.00	10	76%	0.28	3	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.02	16	55%	0.06	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.06
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	12	17%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	12	33%	-0.15	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	27.4	15.7	24.7	2.7	33.5	129.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +45.8%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +12.3%

ORL -14.5%

UTA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	16.9	14.5	14.8	94.6	81.3	107.7
season	16.1	14.6		108.0	103.0
opponent	14.9	15.0		109.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	16.6	17.5	17.9	16.9
ORL	15.5	14.7	13.2	14.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	63	62	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.17	21	-8	29	17.6	15.5	2.09	14.8	14.0	0.76
Rudy Gobert	63	60	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.16	21	-8	29	17.6	15.6	2.04	15.5	12.5	2.98
Gordon Hayward	76	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	-4	21	17.0	16.6	0.46	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Derrick Favors	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-2	17	16.6	18.2	-1.61	14.4	14.9	-0.56
Dante Exum	42	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	10	-7	17.7	16.3	1.46	14.9	14.2	0.68
Shelvin Mack	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	3	7	16.3	17.7	-1.46	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Joe Johnson	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	16	-19	15.6	17.4	-1.78	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Trey Lyles	39	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	19	-25	17.1	16.8	0.27	13.8	15.0	-1.19
Jeff Withey	5	4	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	21	-29	13.0	17.2	-4.17	11.7	14.6	-2.89
Joe Ingles	28	30	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.16	-5	18	-23	16.3	17.2	-0.90	13.7	14.9	-1.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	20	20	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.06	7	-20	27	13.9	14.7	-0.79	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Damjan Rudez	36	35	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.14	9	-22	31	12.5	15.8	-3.29	15.6	17.8	-2.17
Aaron Gordon	49	47	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-13	13	13.9	15.2	-1.25	16.7	17.2	-0.54
D.J. Augustin	49	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	13.9	15.2	-1.30	16.1	17.8	-1.63
Bismack Biyombo	45	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-11	9	14.0	15.1	-1.11	16.0	17.8	-1.81
Elfrid Payton	42	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.06	-9	-4	-5	15.2	13.9	1.30	17.8	16.1	1.63
Jeff Green	42	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	1	-15	15.2	13.9	1.25	17.2	16.7	0.54
Nikola Vucevic	47	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	3	-19	15.9	13.0	2.85	17.5	16.3	1.25
Serge Ibaka	54	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.02	-16	3	-19	15.1	13.6	1.46	18.0	15.2	2.77
Evan Fournier	71	72	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.06	-20	7	-27	14.7	13.9	0.79	17.1	16.3	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 109, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
ORL 94, WAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.01,0,0	92.7%
LAC 95, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	92.0%