NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	7.0 [382]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +19.5%
Washington Wizards	82		Comeback	2.0 [467]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -22.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.10	-0.02	16	62%	0.24	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Rashard Lewis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.02	0.00	15	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	63%	0.11	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03
Jameer Nelson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.05	0.04	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.05	0.02	11	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	19	53%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	43%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	21	41%	-0.08	0	0.00	7	71%	0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	6	36%	-0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.07	-0.03	15	33%	-0.05	6	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.9	15.5	25.5	2.6	35.4	131.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +58.4%

ORL +4.9%

WAS -14.1%

ORL +1.1%

WAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.0	17.2	15.4	102.2	88.2	105.7
season	15.1	16.1		109.9	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.6		107.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.1	13.1	13.9	13.9	14.0
WAS	19.0	18.2	16.1	15.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	77	79	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.12	24	-12	36	13.8	14.7	-0.93	16.5	20.8	-4.27
Jameer Nelson	69	71	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.15	23	-11	34	13.7	14.8	-1.10	16.9	18.1	-1.28
Dwight Howard	74	77	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.13	22	-10	32	13.6	15.6	-2.06	15.9	23.1	-7.20
Rashard Lewis	82	83	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.06	23	-11	34	13.6	16.8	-3.19	17.5	14.7	2.76
Keith Bogans	78	80	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.06	17	-5	22	13.9	14.1	-0.22	17.1	17.2	-0.08
Pat Garrity	14	14	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.14	-14	26	-40	17.3	13.4	3.93	15.6	17.4	-1.87
Adonal Foyle	18	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	22	-32	15.6	13.6	2.06	23.1	15.9	7.20
Trevor Ariza	11	10	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.03	-9	21	-30	13.4	14.0	-0.67	22.0	16.6	5.42
Keyon Dooling	37	35	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.09	-16	28	-44	14.5	13.6	0.98	17.8	16.8	1.02

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	41	41	0.34	-0.84	1.19	-0.04	13	-25	38	17.2	17.1	0.15	14.7	13.3	1.40
Darius Songaila	47	46	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-21	30	16.1	18.2	-2.09	13.8	14.1	-0.26
Dominic McGuire	9	8	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-19	26	15.7	17.3	-1.65	18.5	13.5	4.98
Nick Young	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-13	14	12.0	17.3	-5.27	21.5	13.8	7.71
Andray Blatche	13	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	25.0	15.9	9.11	14.4	13.9	0.56
Gilbert Arenas	78	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-1	-10	17.2	16.9	0.35	13.4	16.4	-2.93
Antonio Daniels	18	20	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	16.4	17.3	-0.89	15.0	13.7	1.33
Caron Butler	77	77	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	2	-16	17.4	15.9	1.55	13.4	16.7	-3.32
Antawn Jamison	73	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.06	-20	8	-28	16.0	21.4	-5.46	13.7	14.7	-0.95
DeShawn Stevenson	47	45	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.16	-18	6	-24	17.5	16.8	0.66	13.3	14.6	-1.26
Brendan Haywood	60	59	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.23	-19	7	-26	17.6	16.4	1.19	14.3	13.4	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, ORL 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.03,0,0,0	92.7%
SAS 84, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	92.7%
PHX 104, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.06,0.1,0.02,0	91.7%