NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	104		Excitement	7.3 [334]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +13.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	99		Comeback	3.7 [472]		LVP	Danny Manning (PHX): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Scott	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	9	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	3	90%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.02	16	61%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0	-0.01	0.03	0.02	8	83%	0.14	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.05
Mark Bryant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Rex Chapman	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.00	13	32%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	47%	0.01	4	-0.14	3	33%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	15	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
James Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	18	56%	0.02	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.05
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	5	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.09	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.5	22.9	15.7	24.9	2.6	36.5	125.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.4%

PHX +1.1%

PHX +12.6%

LAC -9.5%

PHX +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAC	NBA	PHX	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	15.8	15.6	109.5	105.3	102.5
season	15.0	15.5		105.3	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		109.2	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.6	16.4	14.2	15.5	14.7
LAC	16.8	14.9	15.1	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Scott	34	34	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-6	17	16.3	13.7	2.60	16.5	15.4	1.05
Jason Kidd	80	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	0	5	14.3	16.3	-1.92	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Antonio McDyess	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-12	29	14.0	16.0	-1.98	16.0	15.6	0.37
Rex Chapman	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	4	-3	15.5	12.9	2.55	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Hot Rod Williams	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	6	-7	15.5	13.7	1.79	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Steve Nash	48	46	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-1	7	13.8	15.5	-1.66	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Danny Manning	41	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.51	-12	17	-29	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Mark Bryant	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	1	3	13.9	15.3	-1.36	16.5	15.2	1.30
Clifford Robinson	52	51	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.07	-6	11	-17	13.8	15.7	-1.95	15.7	16.0	-0.23

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamond Murray	66	66	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.14	10	-15	25	15.2	17.2	-1.97	14.6	14.9	-0.30
Darrick Martin	77	78	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-12	19	15.2	18.9	-3.73	15.0	13.2	1.80
Lorenzen Wright	41	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.23	6	-11	17	16.0	15.7	0.35	15.7	13.8	1.86
Eric Piatkowski	89	89	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-6	7	15.3	25.4	-10.11	15.0	10.0	4.97
Maurice Taylor	23	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	15.4	16.0	-0.52	16.1	14.2	1.95
James Robinson	5	6	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	1	-7	25.4	15.3	10.11	10.0	15.0	-4.97
Ike Austin	77	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-4	3	16.1	14.8	1.30	14.3	16.4	-2.07
Pooh Richardson	17	17	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	7	-19	18.9	15.2	3.73	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Rodney Rogers	75	76	-0.86	0.36	-1.23	-0.25	-21	16	-37	16.1	14.7	1.44	14.1	16.9	-2.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.54,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.2,0.06,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.08,0	91.9%
ORL 94, WAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.25,0.06,0.01,0,0	91.7%
UTA 87, ORL 74	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.03,0,0,0	91.4%