NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	95		Excitement	6.9 [429]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +41.5%
Boston Celtics	86		Comeback	2.8 [218]		LVP	Eddie House (LAC): -19.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.42	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.32,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42	0.18	0.21	-0.02	19	80%	0.49	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.01	17	56%	0.09	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	4	30%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	15	33%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jiri Welsch	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	13	77%	0.27	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	75%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	20	49%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	14	45%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.3	15.8	25.4	3.4	30.4	127.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -4.8%

LAC +6.8%

LAC +28.7%

LAC +20.4%

BOS -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	17.9	13.7	15.7	104.4	94.5	100.5
season	15.5	14.4		101.3	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.4		102.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.6	16.6	18.9	21.2	17.9
BOS	15.1	12.7	13.0	14.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elton Brand	73	73	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.20	21	-12	33	17.0	21.7	-4.65	14.2	11.7	2.48
Quentin Richardson	78	79	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.18	21	-12	33	17.9	17.9	0.01	14.1	10.9	3.22
Keyon Dooling	25	26	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	21.0	16.8	4.23	13.8	13.7	0.18
Marko Jaric	77	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	2	5	17.9	18.4	-0.50	13.8	13.1	0.68
Chris Wilcox	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	8	-7	19.3	16.7	2.68	13.3	14.1	-0.87
Eddie House	69	67	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	6	-3	17.5	19.3	-1.77	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Chris Kaman	51	52	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	5	-1	17.4	18.6	-1.28	14.2	13.1	1.03
Predrag Drobnjak	10	10	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	18	-27	20.0	17.7	2.32	11.4	14.0	-2.60
Matt Barnes	29	28	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	21	-33	17.0	18.4	-1.37	12.0	14.5	-2.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	23	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-11	13	13.0	14.0	-0.96	16.0	18.6	-2.63
Mike James	55	56	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-10	11	13.4	14.2	-0.79	18.9	16.4	2.45
Brandon Hunter	1	2	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-11	13	3.0	13.8	-10.83	13.0	18.0	-5.04
Walter McCarty	50	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-9	9	13.3	14.3	-1.01	17.9	18.0	-0.17
Ricky Davis	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	13.0	14.8	-1.76	18.5	17.1	1.38
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	14.3	12.0	2.24	17.7	18.5	-0.71
Chris Mihm	40	42	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.16	-11	2	-13	14.5	13.1	1.49	18.3	17.7	0.61
Mark Blount	91	91	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	13.7	0.0	13.71	17.9	0.0	17.93
Jiri Welsch	71	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.21	-16	7	-23	14.2	12.0	2.13	17.6	19.0	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	93.1%
POR 78, GSW 75	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.36,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.28,0	93.1%
BOS 110, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.27,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	92.9%