NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +35.0%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.0 [719]		LVP	Al Harrington (NYK): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.16	0.20	0.01	13	73%	0.35	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.01	13	72%	0.27	3	-0.13	10	90%	0.02
Leon Powe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.04	7	62%	0.09	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.00
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	5	80%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	15	47%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	11	46%	0.02	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	12	48%	0.13	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.11	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.05	0.05	11	58%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	8%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	26	50%	0.00	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	33.1	18.4	32.5	2.3	29.7	142.4
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +42.6%

BOS +3.1%

BOS +7.9%

NYK -6.3%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.5	13.6	15.5	110.0	102.0	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		108.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.4	13.0	15.3	17.3	15.5
NYK	14.2	13.6	14.7	12.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	89	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.18	16	-6	22	15.2	17.3	-2.04	14.2	9.2	4.99
Eddie House	51	49	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-4	18	16.2	14.7	1.42	11.4	15.8	-4.37
Leon Powe	57	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	5	0	16.4	14.2	2.15	12.1	15.8	-3.73
Kevin Garnett	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-2	14	14.4	18.1	-3.68	15.0	10.1	4.96
Ray Allen	69	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	6	-2	15.3	15.8	-0.46	14.5	11.5	3.00
Glen Davis	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	7	-4	17.9	14.5	3.48	10.8	14.9	-4.10
Tony Allen	27	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	15.8	15.3	0.44	11.7	14.3	-2.61
Kendrick Perkins	40	39	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	14.2	16.3	-2.14	15.5	12.3	3.20
Rajon Rondo	66	64	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	14	-18	15.3	15.9	-0.60	14.3	12.3	2.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	44	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-7	4	15.9	11.7	4.17	13.7	16.9	-3.23
Al Harrington	87	89	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-10	10	13.5	14.8	-1.36	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Wilson Chandler	52	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-8	6	11.3	16.3	-4.99	16.7	13.9	2.86
Quentin Richardson	47	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-8	6	16.0	11.4	4.67	15.2	15.6	-0.39
David Lee	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	14.5	11.2	3.30	14.6	17.7	-3.08
Danilo Gallinari	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-5	0	11.2	14.7	-3.52	16.6	15.0	1.62
Nate Robinson	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-5	0	11.8	15.6	-3.77	17.6	13.3	4.30
Chris Duhon	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	4	-18	14.7	11.1	3.57	14.3	18.2	-3.91
Tim Thomas	40	41	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.23	-12	2	-14	12.3	14.5	-2.26	16.1	15.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.27,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
SAC 98, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.24,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.01,0	93.3%
LAC 95, BOS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0	92.9%