NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	6.6 [491]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): +26.0%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	1.9 [253]		LVP	Jason Caffey (GSW): -12.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.17	-0.03	19	60%	0.31	1	-0.05	10	70%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.01	14	67%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Pete Chilcutt	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	3	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.03	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles R. Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Avent	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.02	17	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	7	35%	-0.07	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	25	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.02	0.04	8	61%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	61%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	20	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.06
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.6	27.2	15.7	26.0	3.4	27.5	126.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +68.1%

GSW -9.6%

GSW -0.8%

GSW -7.4%

GSW -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	17.8	14.2	15.2	124.4	114.4	101.7
season	15.6	14.7		95.5	97.2
opponent	14.7	14.3		105.8	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.0	18.0	15.8	19.9	17.8
GSW	14.1	14.7	12.3	16.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	35	35	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.21	12	-3	15	19.3	16.9	2.41	13.7	14.5	-0.73
Jeff McInnis	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	0	9	18.4	16.1	2.30	14.2	14.1	0.14
Lamar Odom	85	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	0	9	18.0	14.4	3.61	14.3	12.2	2.17
Tyrone Nesby	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	2	5	17.9	17.6	0.33	15.5	11.4	4.04
Eric Piatkowski	49	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	17.8	17.9	-0.12	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Maurice Taylor	71	71	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	5	-1	17.3	19.7	-2.37	14.3	13.9	0.31
Charles R. Jones	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	8	-7	15.1	18.4	-3.34	11.4	14.7	-3.35
Anthony Avent	5	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	14.4	18.0	-3.61	12.2	14.3	-2.17
Michael Olowokandi	62	62	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.03	-7	16	-23	17.5	18.4	-0.84	13.9	14.9	-1.07

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	33	33	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.02	9	-18	27	12.1	15.4	-3.36	18.6	17.3	1.30
Adonal Foyle	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-4	-1	15.4	13.4	2.09	16.6	18.6	-1.98
Billy Owens	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-8	7	12.8	16.9	-4.02	18.1	17.2	0.87
Donyell Marshall	74	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-7	5	13.9	15.6	-1.67	18.1	16.3	1.85
Sam Jacobson	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	14.8	14.1	0.74	15.6	18.2	-2.57
Mookie Blaylock	67	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	15.3	11.0	4.34	17.4	19.0	-1.56
Larry Hughes	80	81	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	13.9	16.4	-2.49	18.0	16.0	2.01
Vonteego Cummings	42	43	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.28	-8	-1	-7	13.4	14.9	-1.56	19.0	16.7	2.37
Jason Caffey	46	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.09	-15	6	-21	16.4	11.9	4.55	16.9	18.7	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.16,0	94.2%
MIA 104, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.5%
BOS 110, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.35,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.27,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%