NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	92		Excitement	7.2 [379]		MVP	Corie Blount (PHI): +9.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	90		Comeback	2.1 [275]		LVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): -15.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.10	2	-0.07	14	71%	-0.02
Derrick McKey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	58%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	13	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.09
Derrick Coleman	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	13	41%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	80%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	16	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.04	14	63%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.10	-0.01	8	62%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.12
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.10	-0.02	7	14%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	8	33%	-0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	35.4	19.4	27.3	3.4	36.5	150.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.7%

PHI +0.4%

PHI +33.5%

MIL -14.5%

PHI +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.8	16.5	15.6	110.8	105.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.3	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.8	16.0	17.6	19.2	17.8
MIL	14.8	15.3	18.4	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	53	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-3	8	17.3	18.7	-1.36	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Dikembe Mutombo	61	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	-4	10	17.6	18.4	-0.79	16.0	17.6	-1.66
Derrick Coleman	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	-3	8	17.8	17.8	0.04	16.5	16.4	0.12
Eric Snow	66	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	4	-6	18.2	16.2	2.01	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Matt Harpring	55	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	-6	14	17.8	17.9	-0.15	17.3	14.8	2.46
Derrick McKey	34	35	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	4	-6	18.1	17.7	0.39	16.5	16.4	0.07
Raja Bell	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	1	0	18.6	17.4	1.16	16.9	16.3	0.61
Vonteego Cummings	19	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	16.5	18.2	-1.69	16.3	16.5	-0.24
Corie Blount	30	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	11	-20	18.1	17.7	0.42	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Alvin Jones	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	4	-6	18.0	17.8	0.18	14.0	16.7	-2.66

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	31	31	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-1	0	16.9	16.2	0.73	19.0	17.1	1.87
Darvin Ham	24	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-3	4	15.5	16.9	-1.35	17.8	17.8	-0.06
Ray Allen	46	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.24	0	-2	2	15.7	17.4	-1.74	18.6	17.0	1.58
Sam Cassell	57	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	3	-8	16.6	16.2	0.44	18.3	16.8	1.42
Tim Thomas	47	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-2	2	16.3	16.7	-0.34	16.9	18.9	-1.96
Glenn Robinson	59	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	16.7	16.0	0.68	18.9	15.4	3.42
Anthony Mason	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	16.7	15.5	1.19	18.0	17.2	0.80
Greg Anthony	44	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	0	-2	16.5	16.4	0.16	16.6	19.0	-2.42
Ervin Johnson	45	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.35	-8	6	-14	16.8	16.1	0.75	16.3	19.7	-3.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 112, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
MIA 104, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.28,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.06,0,0	93.1%
CHI 86, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.26,0	93.1%