NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	95		Excitement	7.0 [455]		MVP	Allen Iverson (DEN): +21.5%
San Antonio Spurs	89		Comeback	1.8 [245]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -21.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.08	0.12	-0.01	22	60%	0.28	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	18	68%	0.26	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Steve Blake	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	5	8%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.08	0.03	12	45%	-0.07	5	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	13	58%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.02	10	64%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.04	0.03	20	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	15	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	17	39%	0.01	5	-0.22	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	3.4	32.6	19.6	24.1	3.7	41.2	149.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +0.9%

DEN +19.2%

DEN +24.3%

DEN +1.8%

DEN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAS	NBA	DEN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	17.0	15.4	105.6	98.9	104.5
season	14.0	16.2		105.8	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		98.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.9	13.9	17.0	15.5	15.0
SAS	18.2	18.9	17.3	14.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Blake	70	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.30	10	-4	14	14.9	15.4	-0.49	16.3	19.5	-3.16
Marcus Camby	73	71	0.51	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	14.4	17.6	-3.24	16.1	20.3	-4.16
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	1	4	15.1	13.3	1.81	16.8	19.0	-2.17
Nene	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	2	2	15.6	13.0	2.54	16.5	18.9	-2.39
Carmelo Anthony	79	78	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	0	6	14.6	18.0	-3.39	16.1	22.7	-6.56
Eduardo Najera	34	34	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	4	-2	15.2	14.9	0.30	19.8	15.2	4.57
Linas Kleiza	33	32	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	7	-8	15.5	14.8	0.73	19.9	15.4	4.54
J.R. Smith	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	17.0	14.9	2.14	21.2	16.6	4.69

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fabricio Oberto	28	30	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-10	14	18.7	16.2	2.57	14.2	15.4	-1.18
Jacque Vaughn	18	20	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-10	14	18.8	16.5	2.32	15.4	14.9	0.55
Brent Barry	22	20	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.05	3	-9	12	19.7	16.1	3.58	15.8	14.8	1.06
Matt Bonner	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-2	-2	23.5	16.7	6.83	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Bruce Bowen	34	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-6	6	17.4	16.7	0.70	16.3	14.1	2.19
Robert Horry	46	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-14	22	15.9	18.1	-2.13	15.9	14.1	1.87
Francisco Elson	25	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	5	-16	17.0	17.0	0.03	15.3	14.9	0.41
Manu Ginobili	59	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.25	-6	0	-6	16.3	18.3	-2.05	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Michael Finley	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.19	-9	3	-12	16.5	18.3	-1.80	14.5	16.3	-1.80
Tony Parker	72	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	4	-14	16.5	18.8	-2.32	14.9	15.4	-0.55
Tim Duncan	77	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	3	-12	16.6	19.2	-2.54	14.7	16.7	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 98, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	92.8%
HOU 100, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.46,0.29,0.25,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	92.8%
NOP 99, DEN 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.06,0,0	92.5%