NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	7.6 [303]		MVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): +19.1%
Denver Nuggets	92		Comeback	1.4 [785]		LVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): -18.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.01	14	55%	0.25	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Alexis Ajinca	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	6	62%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Dante Cunningham	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	12	58%	0.17	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	14	56%	0.11	5	-0.09	11	73%	-0.03
Luke Babbitt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.10	-0.02	14	52%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	10	64%	0.15	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	13	73%	0.22	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.06	0.03	18	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.02	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	11	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	6	36%	-0.08	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	24.2	15.6	28.1	2.4	40.6	134.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +42.3%

NOP +15.8%

DEN -13.2%

NOP +1.8%

NOP +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	DEN	NBA	NOP	DEN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.1	105.3	98.9	104.2
season	15.8	14.6		106.3	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		106.6	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	17.7	17.1	15.7	15.1	16.4
DEN	15.0	14.2	15.0	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	66	67	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-10	27	16.0	17.1	-1.03	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Dante Cunningham	79	79	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.35	16	-9	25	16.6	15.1	1.45	14.3	15.0	-0.66
Eric Gordon	62	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	0	7	17.0	15.2	1.76	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Quincy Pondexter	68	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	5	-3	16.4	16.1	0.33	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Omer Asik	47	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	1	5	18.1	14.6	3.60	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Alexis Ajinca	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.15	-1	8	-9	16.5	16.3	0.22	15.9	13.3	2.56
Norris Cole	53	52	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.06	2	5	-3	14.5	18.7	-4.14	14.3	14.6	-0.30
Jimmer Fredette	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	9	-11	14.8	16.8	-2.00	15.1	14.2	0.85
Luke Babbitt	33	31	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.02	-12	19	-31	16.3	16.4	-0.07	14.7	14.3	0.35

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	64	64	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.05	3	-10	13	14.8	13.7	1.09	15.7	17.8	-2.08
Gary Harris	29	31	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-10	13	15.3	14.1	1.21	16.0	16.5	-0.48
JJ Hickson	30	31	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.09	7	-14	21	16.1	13.6	2.50	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Jameer Nelson	38	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.16	3	-10	13	16.1	13.3	2.77	16.5	16.3	0.21
Joffrey Lauvergne	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-6	5	14.8	14.3	0.48	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Will Barton	55	55	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-3	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.35	15.3	17.9	-2.64
Kenneth Faried	49	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	14.2	14.7	-0.59	18.6	13.9	4.64
Ty Lawson	55	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	3	-13	13.3	16.1	-2.77	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Randy Foye	58	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.32	-11	4	-15	14.0	15.2	-1.26	16.6	16.0	0.52
Wilson Chandler	66	67	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.30	-18	11	-29	13.9	15.7	-1.73	16.6	15.7	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	93.5%
HOU 83, DEN 74	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	92.6%
DEN 95, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.5%