NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	98		Excitement	6.2 [533]		MVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): +19.9%
Vancouver Grizzlies	90		Comeback	1.3 [483]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (VAN): -21.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	14	64%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Phills	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	5	100%	0.19	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	52%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Glen Rice	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	20	60%	0.10	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Beck	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	1	67%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	15	47%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	13	54%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.07	13	77%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	0%	-0.05
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.05	-0.11	0.05	14	63%	-0.02	6	-0.19	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	1.8	23.2	15.7	27.2	2.5	34.2	124.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +2.1%

CHH +9.8%

CHH +9.9%

CHH +22.6%

CHH +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	VAN	NBA	CHH	VAN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.6	106.5	95.7	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		104.0	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.9		109.1	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.6	18.1	14.7	16.4	15.9
VAN	13.1	14.0	16.5	17.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	72	74	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-9	26	15.2	18.2	-2.95	15.3	14.1	1.19
Glen Rice	84	86	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-7	22	15.0	24.7	-9.70	15.1	14.6	0.50
Vlade Divac	73	76	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.14	17	-9	26	15.3	18.2	-2.86	15.3	14.0	1.34
Anthony Mason	82	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-2	12	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Bobby Phills	64	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-2	12	15.4	17.0	-1.54	14.9	15.6	-0.67
B.J. Armstrong	29	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	16.5	15.6	0.91	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Corey Beck	19	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	13	-18	17.6	15.4	2.19	15.6	15.0	0.65
Matt Geiger	17	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.09	-8	16	-24	19.1	15.2	3.96	14.5	15.2	-0.75
J.R. Reid	20	21	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.06	-11	19	-30	19.7	14.8	4.87	14.2	15.3	-1.15

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	30	29	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.09	11	-19	30	16.4	14.5	1.88	18.3	14.8	3.53
Bryant Reeves	68	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-7	6	15.3	14.6	0.65	16.5	14.4	2.10
Antonio Daniels	48	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.27	7	-15	22	15.4	14.8	0.55	17.2	14.5	2.71
Blue Edwards	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.6	14.7	0.95	17.3	14.9	2.41
Sam Mack	56	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	14.5	15.9	-1.36	14.7	17.7	-2.98
Pete Chilcutt	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	13.7	15.9	-2.18	15.7	16.0	-0.38
Lee Mayberry	46	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	7	-22	14.8	15.4	-0.55	14.5	17.2	-2.71
Otis Thorpe	73	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	5	-18	14.8	16.0	-1.12	15.8	16.3	-0.51
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	75	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.18	-19	11	-30	15.4	13.8	1.62	14.8	19.9	-5.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.13,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, OKC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.9%
DEN 95, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0	92.8%
WAS 93, ORL 75	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.6%