NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	93		Excitement	6.6 [486]		MVP	Hubert Davis (WAS): +7.5%
Orlando Magic	75		Comeback	1.9 [480]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -21.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	14	68%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.02	10	54%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Whitney	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	13	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	0.07	7	79%	0.05	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	16	32%	-0.12	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	35%	-0.07	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	7	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	16	38%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	14	18%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.6	30.1	15.8	25.1	2.4	24.6	125.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +62.7%

WAS +3.3%

ORL -1.1%

ORL -16.5%

WAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	18.4	16.5	15.6	110.7	92.6	102.3
season	16.5	14.6		102.2	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.3		103.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.9	16.6	18.7	20.9	18.4
ORL	14.7	16.9	17.3	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Popeye Jones	73	71	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	-6	30	17.9	21.6	-3.70	16.1	19.3	-3.24
Michael Jordan	57	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.10	20	-2	22	19.2	16.8	2.36	17.1	15.3	1.79
Hubert Davis	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	6	6	18.2	19.4	-1.15	16.6	15.9	0.63
Tyronn Lue	39	39	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	7	4	18.0	18.8	-0.73	17.1	15.9	1.15
Chris Whitney	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.20	18	0	18	19.1	15.9	3.19	16.2	17.5	-1.36
Brendan Haywood	32	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	17	-16	17.7	18.8	-1.13	17.4	15.8	1.57
Jahidi White	40	37	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	11	-4	19.4	17.5	1.88	16.2	16.6	-0.39
Richard Hamilton	15	14	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	13	-8	19.5	18.2	1.28	15.6	16.6	-1.07
Etan Thomas	5	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	18	-18	9.2	19.0	-9.80	13.2	16.7	-3.47
Tyrone Nesby	14	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	19	-20	16.2	18.9	-2.64	14.0	16.9	-2.93
Kwame Brown	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	25	-32	20.3	18.2	2.15	19.2	16.2	3.10

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Don Reid	14	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.09	-2	-16	14	13.8	17.0	-3.23	15.5	18.9	-3.41
Steven Hunter	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-14	10	10.7	16.7	-6.01	23.0	18.3	4.70
Andrew DeClercq	22	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	-12	6	15.9	16.7	-0.75	20.2	17.7	2.48
Patrick Ewing	37	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-18	18	16.5	16.4	0.10	17.3	19.3	-1.99
Mike Miller	42	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-12	6	15.2	17.8	-2.53	17.0	20.2	-3.18
Jud Buechler	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-9	0	16.0	17.0	-0.95	18.8	18.0	0.77
Monty Williams	50	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.25	-19	1	-20	17.4	14.9	2.57	18.6	18.0	0.61
Horace Grant	44	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-11	4	16.4	16.5	-0.05	18.8	17.9	0.88
Darrell Armstrong	63	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-6	-6	16.9	14.8	2.09	18.8	17.0	1.78
Troy Hudson	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.01	-14	-4	-10	17.0	15.7	1.36	19.2	17.4	1.82
Pat Garrity	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-7	-4	17.2	15.7	1.52	18.0	18.8	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, NOK 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.04,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 106, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.32,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.3%
MIA 110, NJN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.1%