NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	5.8 [678]		MVP	Ricky Davis (MIN): +19.1%
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	79		Comeback	1.5 [403]		LVP	Mike James (MIN): -16.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.03	16	61%	0.19	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.03
Marko Jaric	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	58%	0.12	2	-0.07	5	60%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.14	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Mark Madsen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Craig Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	11	56%	0.07	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	0.05	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	12	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	14	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Desmond Mason	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	15	24%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	0.3	25.2	14.6	29.3	1.0	30.0	125.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.1%

NOK -2.9%

MIN +10.2%

NOK -21.6%

MIN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOK	NBA	MIN	NOK	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.4	93.5	85.9	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		101.9	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.6		104.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.5	16.7	15.8	17.3	16.1
NOK	16.1	16.8	14.9	13.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	2	3	16.6	15.0	1.53	14.4	16.9	-2.46
Ricky Davis	75	73	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	0	7	15.7	17.7	-2.01	15.1	15.7	-0.56
Mark Blount	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	16.6	14.7	1.93	15.7	14.0	1.70
Troy Hudson	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.23	3	4	-1	17.2	15.1	2.13	14.8	15.6	-0.73
Kevin Garnett	69	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	16.2	15.8	0.38	15.4	14.7	0.68
Craig Smith	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	15.9	16.2	-0.26	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Mike James	51	52	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	3	1	15.1	17.2	-2.13	15.6	14.8	0.73
Mark Madsen	6	5	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	5	-3	9.8	16.5	-6.67	9.4	15.6	-6.17
Randy Foye	17	19	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	7	-7	17.7	15.7	2.01	15.7	15.1	0.56
Trenton Hassell	30	31	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.01	2	5	-3	15.0	16.6	-1.53	16.9	14.4	2.46

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Simmons	32	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-8	9	15.7	15.0	0.78	15.8	16.2	-0.43
Peja Stojakovic	72	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-6	5	14.2	19.0	-4.87	15.8	16.9	-1.09
Marc Jackson	38	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-1	-5	16.5	14.3	2.19	15.4	16.5	-1.02
Rasual Butler	32	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	16.3	14.6	1.69	17.3	15.4	1.85
Chris Paul	70	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-7	7	14.7	17.0	-2.31	15.7	17.2	-1.46
Jannero Pargo	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.6	-0.73	17.2	15.1	2.13
Tyson Chandler	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-3	-1	15.5	14.6	0.87	16.2	15.6	0.63
Bobby Jackson	40	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	0	-7	15.8	14.8	1.08	16.2	16.0	0.19
Desmond Mason	70	70	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	3	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.58	15.6	17.4	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 93, ORL 75	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 77, CHH 71	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.14,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0	93.5%
LAL 97, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.04,0	93.2%