NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	7.9 [243]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +28.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	99		Comeback	2.4 [289]		LVP	Desmond Mason (MIL): -23.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29	0.18	0.12	0.01	19	70%	0.29	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.01	14	61%	0.26	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Brent Barry	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ansu Sesay	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	18	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	37%	-0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.00	6	73%	0.14	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.00	0.00	13	74%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.05
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	9	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	15	44%	-0.07	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	23	38%	-0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24	-0.24	-0.19	-0.05	-0.00	14	22%	-0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	29.4	15.5	25.3	1.8	35.3	132.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +103.8%

MIL -24.8%

MIL -29.1%

SEA +0.0%

SEA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIL	NBA	SEA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.1	16.6	15.7	109.5	106.5	100.5
season	15.6	15.3		105.0	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	12.5	15.8	12.0	16.5	14.1
MIL	16.3	16.2	17.5	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	81	81	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.30	20	-15	35	13.6	17.1	-3.56	16.6	16.3	0.26
Calvin Booth	54	53	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-8	21	13.2	15.2	-2.00	16.6	16.5	0.10
Brent Barry	66	67	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-6	17	14.4	13.4	1.04	17.1	15.0	2.11
Ronald Murray	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	13.7	15.8	-2.06	16.4	17.1	-0.68
Vladimir Radmanovic	76	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	14.3	13.3	0.99	16.8	15.6	1.19
Ansu Sesay	20	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	11.4	14.8	-3.36	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Luke Ridnour	29	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	11	-17	13.4	14.4	-1.04	15.0	17.1	-2.11
Jerome James	13	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	10	-15	13.9	14.1	-0.21	13.0	17.0	-4.04
Antonio Daniels	27	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	11	-17	16.5	13.1	3.37	16.7	16.5	0.22
Reggie Evans	32	32	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	15	-25	17.1	12.6	4.46	17.6	16.0	1.58

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	25	26	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-15	25	15.7	16.9	-1.15	15.2	13.7	1.55
Damon Jones	39	41	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.05	5	-10	15	17.3	16.0	1.29	14.2	14.1	0.12
Marcus Haislip	5	5	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-2	-1	18.0	16.5	1.52	10.6	14.3	-3.70
Dan Gadzuric	29	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-12	19	17.2	16.3	0.89	17.6	12.4	5.16
Desmond Mason	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	8	-21	16.8	16.2	0.54	12.1	17.1	-4.91
Joe Smith	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	7	-19	16.5	16.6	-0.14	12.6	15.5	-2.90
Michael Redd	79	80	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-1	-3	16.1	19.1	-2.96	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Tim Thomas	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	16.6	16.3	0.37	14.4	13.1	1.21
Toni Kukoc	54	56	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	-4	3	16.3	16.9	-0.63	15.0	12.8	2.27
T.J. Ford	58	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	6	-17	16.6	16.5	0.07	14.4	13.6	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.07,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.8%
TOR 101, PHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.43,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.19,0.32,0.08,0	92.5%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.4%