NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	8.4 [191]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +6.6%
Sacramento Kings	86		Comeback	2.1 [141]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -38.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.08	0.01	11	59%	0.17	2	-0.10	10	100%	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.07	0.12	0.01	24	54%	0.23	6	-0.19	6	50%	-0.03
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.00	11	67%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.04	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	14	39%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.11	-0.16	0.02	5	31%	-0.21	2	-0.08	6	83%	-0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.02	0.03	13	63%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	45%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	6	36%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	18	46%	-0.06	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.09	-0.02	13	40%	-0.04	6	-0.20	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Webber	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.23	-0.15	0.00	16	28%	-0.36	1	-0.02	14	57%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.4	33.4	17.4	26.6	2.6	36.2	141.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +47.5%

IND +0.4%

IND +16.7%

SAC -28.7%

IND +14.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAC	NBA	IND	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	12.8	15.6	93.3	81.9	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		101.6	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.8	14.8	16.0	15.8	14.8
SAC	13.9	12.9	11.9	12.4	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	59	57	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-8	27	14.5	15.2	-0.75	12.9	12.6	0.27
Metta World Peace	77	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-2	15	14.5	15.6	-1.05	12.6	13.2	-0.59
Jermaine O'Neal	96	96	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-3	17	14.7	16.5	-1.82	12.9	10.9	2.04
Jonathan Bender	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-1	13	14.5	16.2	-1.78	12.7	12.8	-0.09
Austin Croshere	62	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	1	9	15.2	14.2	0.97	12.5	13.2	-0.70
Brad Miller	65	66	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	14	-17	14.8	14.8	-0.01	13.1	12.2	0.83
Jeff Foster	25	28	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.10	1	10	-9	16.0	14.4	1.56	12.8	12.7	0.05
Bruno Sundov	5	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	14	-17	14.8	14.8	-0.02	12.2	12.8	-0.52
Jamaal Tinsley	48	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	19	-27	15.4	14.3	1.15	12.5	13.0	-0.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	36	36	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-11	11	13.1	12.6	0.55	15.8	14.3	1.55
Gerald Wallace	9	9	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-12	13	13.6	12.7	0.88	12.8	15.0	-2.23
Scot Pollard	54	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-10	9	12.7	12.8	-0.18	16.0	13.6	2.45
Hedo Turkoglu	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-8	5	12.6	12.9	-0.23	15.5	14.0	1.45
Vlade Divac	76	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	12.6	13.1	-0.53	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Peja Stojakovic	87	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-6	1	12.4	14.6	-2.18	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Doug Christie	60	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	6	-23	13.2	12.1	1.16	14.2	15.7	-1.42
Mike Bibby	70	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	-1	-9	12.5	13.3	-0.89	14.1	16.1	-2.00
Chris Webber	77	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.18	-15	4	-19	13.1	11.9	1.22	14.6	15.3	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.9%
LAC 103, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.1,0.05,0	92.9%
NOK 111, NJN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,0	92.8%