NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	111		Excitement	7.4 [360]		MVP	David West (NOK): +45.3%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	4.0 [216]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -20.2%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.45	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.45	0.19	0.28	0.02	18	70%	0.48	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.08
Chris Paul	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	14	53%	0.16	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.07
Bobby Jackson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	9	59%	0.12	0	0.00	11	73%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Linton Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.34	0.34	0.30	0.07	0.03	25	74%	0.53	3	-0.20	12	100%	0.08
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	8	94%	0.21	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	5	53%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	53%	0.06	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.05	0.00	14	20%	-0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	29.4	15.5	31.2	2.5	38.5	145.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +5.0%

NOK +17.1%

NOK +7.5%

NOK +21.5%

NJN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	NJN	NBA	NOK	NJN	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.4	119.4	113.8	104.5
season	16.0	15.4		102.8	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	16.1	14.5	17.5	15.4	15.8
NJN	13.9	16.8	14.6	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	58	60	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-8	20	14.7	17.7	-2.96	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Chris Paul	71	72	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.47	4	0	4	16.1	14.9	1.28	14.8	15.4	-0.52
Tyson Chandler	77	77	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	0	4	16.0	14.9	1.16	14.5	17.0	-2.48
David West	79	79	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	0	4	15.9	15.4	0.48	15.4	12.6	2.82
Desmond Mason	53	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	16.1	15.4	0.68	14.9	15.1	-0.27
Rasual Butler	40	39	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	1	2	15.4	16.1	-0.68	15.1	14.9	0.27
Linton Johnson	30	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	4	-4	15.1	16.2	-1.04	14.9	15.0	-0.05
Jannero Pargo	22	22	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.09	0	4	-4	14.9	16.1	-1.28	15.4	14.8	0.52
Devin Brown	35	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	12	-20	17.7	14.7	2.96	15.7	14.6	1.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	28	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	0	-4	15.5	14.8	0.71	13.8	16.6	-2.87
Josh Boone	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-4	4	16.2	14.8	1.47	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Antoine Wright	56	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	15.3	14.4	0.87	16.6	14.6	2.00
Bostjan Nachbar	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	0	-4	15.1	14.8	0.32	13.9	17.5	-3.64
Clifford Robinson	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	3	-10	13.9	15.6	-1.70	14.1	16.8	-2.76
Vince Carter	62	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.54	5	-9	14	14.1	16.7	-2.61	17.3	12.7	4.63
Eddie House	54	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	3	-10	15.4	14.3	1.12	14.2	17.9	-3.72
Jason Collins	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	14.6	15.4	-0.74	17.0	14.5	2.48
Mikki Moore	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	0	-4	15.6	13.8	1.89	16.8	14.2	2.62
Jason Kidd	66	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.50	0	-4	4	14.8	15.5	-0.71	16.6	13.8	2.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 87, ATL 81	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,0	93.0%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.8%
SAS 103, SAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.21,0.15,0,0	92.8%