inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 122 Excitement11.6 [31] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +48.1%
Dallas Mavericks 120 Comeback7.0 [147] LVPDraymond Green (GSW): -20.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Klay Thompson0.410,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.410.070.32-0.022455%0.462-0.051100%0.00
Stephen Curry0.400,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.40.130.280.011768%0.431-0.0300%0.00
Andre Iguodala0.350,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.350.150.200.01984%0.3500.0010%-0.01
Jordan Crawford0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.190.14-0.011095%0.3400.0000%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0.310,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.310.110.200.001271%0.321-0.02450%-0.04
Harrison Barnes-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0000%0.001-0.0500%0.00
Steve Blake-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.0130%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Marreese Speights-0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.05-0.14-0.02757%-0.044-0.1300%0.00
Draymond Green-0.210,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.02-0.170.01950%-0.152-0.0600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.480.480.250.230.012173%0.4800.00333%-0.03
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.100.110.01687%0.231-0.034100%0.02
Jose Calderon0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.160.16-0.070.23-0.01942%0.303-0.131100%0.01
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.060.07-0.00762%0.1300.002100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.020.070.00475%0.141-0.0400%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.020.00850%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.0030%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.28,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.12-0.120.05-0.18-0.012354%-0.022-0.11475%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.13,-0.13-0.130.00-0.14-0.011343%-0.1300.00250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.42.428.516.825.02.434.61.812.0147.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +64.8%
DAL -10.3%
GSW +4.2%
GSW +2.3%
DAL -11.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game14.918.015.1127.1123.7105.2
season14.215.3105.9109.0
opponent15.015.3107.0102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
GSW12.919.113.114.716.014.9
DAL17.116.921.816.019.118.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Draymond Green75750.89-0.391.280.5412-102214.815.6-0.8018.715.72.93
Stephen Curry79790.69-0.190.880.468-61414.417.5-3.0718.416.12.37
Klay Thompson83850.68-0.180.860.506-41015.412.23.1418.315.92.37
Andre Iguodala73720.54-0.040.570.395-3814.915.0-0.0118.815.63.27
Marreese Speights34330.390.110.280.216-41013.815.6-1.7916.418.8-2.42
Jermaine O'Neal58600.210.29-0.080.27-24-615.414.21.2218.916.52.43
Harrison Barnes2526-0.160.66-0.81-0.01-57-1214.515.1-0.5815.818.8-2.98
Steve Blake2526-0.350.85-1.20-0.09-911-2015.514.80.7215.518.9-3.45
Jordan Crawford2829-0.410.91-1.33-0.09-1113-2416.014.51.4916.218.7-2.49

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jae Crowder37350.73-1.231.950.2915-173215.619.4-3.7815.114.90.22
DeJuan Blair22230.06-0.560.62-0.064-61016.718.4-1.6915.314.80.47
Devin Harris32330.01-0.510.53-0.166-81415.219.4-4.2314.315.3-0.98
Shawn Marion6463-0.09-0.410.320.15-86-1418.616.91.6815.114.70.43
Samuel Dalembert1514-0.30-0.20-0.100.14-1513-2820.117.62.5411.915.5-3.53
Vince Carter5758-0.510.01-0.51-0.779-112016.819.6-2.7814.915.0-0.13
Jose Calderon6563-0.510.01-0.53-0.28-86-1419.415.24.2315.314.30.98
Dirk Nowitzki7273-0.590.09-0.69-0.56-1-1017.918.2-0.2815.114.60.45
Monta Ellis7574-0.600.10-0.71-0.34-97-1619.214.05.2215.214.11.05
Brandan Wright4644-0.700.20-0.90-0.61-31-418.617.41.1814.915.0-0.11


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.67,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 126, DAL 1240.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.95,0.98,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.58,088.1%
DET 124, IND 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.66,0.85,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.27,087.7%
ORL 98, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.63,0.41,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.85,0.68,0.73,187.0%