NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	126		Excitement	11.8 [22]		MVP	Keon Clark (SAC): +50.0%
Dallas Mavericks	124		Comeback	104.3 [5]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -39.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keon Clark	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.5	0.04	0.46	0.00	8	75%	0.56	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.01	13	65%	0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	10	50%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.07	-0.01	24	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	14	100%	0.13
Vlade Divac	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	15	42%	-0.03	2	-0.09	8	50%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.39	-0.08	-0.32	-0.00	16	50%	-0.13	5	-0.27	2	0%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.00	7	86%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.09	0.09	0.15	-0.05	0.01	22	65%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	0	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.11	0.01	25	62%	0.12	4	-0.18	8	100%	0.13
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	17	39%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	3.5	30.3	18.0	26.5	2.7	38.2	1.6	14.1	157.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +63.0%

DAL -39.0%

SAC +32.4%

DAL -17.6%

SAC +11.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.5	114.5	113.8	101.6
season	14.0	15.1		104.4	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.7	13.4	13.1	13.6	15.6	13.6
DAL	17.0	14.8	14.6	15.2	16.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	81	79	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.52	10	-8	18	13.6	13.8	-0.17	15.7	14.6	1.17
Keon Clark	48	48	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.60	-1	3	-4	13.9	13.5	0.42	14.9	15.8	-0.89
Peja Stojakovic	97	94	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	-3	8	13.5	14.5	-0.94	15.5	14.7	0.79
Bobby Jackson	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	14.2	12.9	1.26	15.1	15.8	-0.77
Mike Bibby	89	90	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-2	6	13.0	16.2	-3.16	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Chris Webber	67	69	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	-2	6	13.5	13.9	-0.44	15.7	14.9	0.81
Jim Jackson	37	38	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.07	-7	9	-16	14.0	13.5	0.55	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Vlade Divac	70	67	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.18	-4	6	-10	13.9	13.1	0.80	15.6	15.1	0.52

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	21	22	0.21	-0.71	0.91	0.12	3	-5	8	14.3	15.7	-1.34	15.2	13.2	1.99
Raja Bell	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	2	-6	15.6	15.3	0.34	13.6	13.6	0.02
Walt Williams	46	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-4	6	15.6	15.3	0.30	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Michael Finley	102	102	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	15.3	17.6	-2.31	13.5	15.5	-2.01
Steve Nash	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	15.5	15.1	0.43	13.5	14.1	-0.68
Nick Van Exel	73	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.56	1	-3	4	15.3	15.6	-0.21	13.8	13.2	0.64
Dirk Nowitzki	95	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	2	-6	15.4	15.7	-0.35	13.8	12.2	1.59
Raef LaFrentz	88	88	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.53	-5	3	-8	15.7	14.3	1.34	13.2	15.2	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.95,0.98,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.92,0.46,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.26,0	90.0%
POR 104, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.83,0.31,0	88.4%
GSW 122, DAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.53,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.79,0.67,0.42,0	88.1%