NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	12.1 [13]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +106.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	94.2 [11]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -35.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	1.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.34,1.07	0.10	0.97	0.00	17	67%	1.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.01	11	45%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.01	8	71%	0.06	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.06
Derek Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	11	39%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.21	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.21,-0.21	0.01	-0.20	0.02	12	52%	-0.21	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.16
Bonzi Wells	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.09	0.00	9	23%	-0.16	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36	-0.07	-0.28	0.01	23	45%	-0.28	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.10

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,0.46	0.46	-0.02	0.45	-0.02	19	51%	0.58	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.03
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.06	0.00	10	90%	0.24	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	16	61%	0.15	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	6	38%	-0.01	2	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.32	-0.32	-0.03	-0.25	0.04	21	53%	-0.21	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	522.8	1.8	25.2	15.7	23.3	2.3	35.3	1.4	17.0	644.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.2%

MIL -20.7%

POR +28.2%

POR +12.7%

POR +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	108.3	107.3	102.3
season	16.0	15.3		105.0	104.7
opponent	16.0	15.6		105.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	17.3	17.1	14.8	15.5	16.8	16.2
MIL	14.8	18.0	18.0	19.5	11.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	0	1	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.77	3	-2	5	0.0	16.2	-16.23	0.0	17.1	-17.07
Rasheed Wallace	84	83	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.55	3	-2	5	16.4	14.9	1.50	16.5	19.7	-3.23
Damon Stoudamire	89	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.50	3	-2	5	16.1	18.1	-2.06	16.4	23.7	-7.35
Ruben Patterson	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.65	-2	3	-5	15.3	17.4	-2.07	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Derek Anderson	50	50	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.58	-3	4	-7	16.2	16.3	-0.06	17.0	16.8	0.13
Bonzi Wells	43	43	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	-4	9	17.0	15.6	1.48	16.8	16.9	-0.11
Chris Dudley	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	-2	5	14.6	16.5	-1.87	17.2	16.8	0.37
Zach Randolph	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	1	-1	12.7	16.6	-3.93	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	61	61	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	1	-1	16.7	15.4	1.26	17.5	15.9	1.59
Rick Brunson	7	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	3	-5	18.1	16.1	2.06	23.7	16.4	7.35
Dale Davis	71	70	-0.71	1.21	-1.92	-0.56	-5	6	-11	16.6	15.2	1.34	17.3	15.8	1.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	35	34	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.08	7	-8	15	19.3	15.5	3.76	16.0	16.4	-0.35
Darvin Ham	9	10	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-7	13	17.0	16.9	0.11	20.3	15.8	4.54
Tim Thomas	49	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-3	5	18.6	15.1	3.42	16.2	16.2	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	32	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.8	17.5	-1.67	16.7	16.0	0.71
Ervin Johnson	53	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	5	-11	16.8	17.0	-0.10	15.8	16.8	-0.99
Ray Allen	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.54	0	-1	1	16.6	17.9	-1.34	16.8	14.4	2.36
Anthony Mason	81	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	5	-11	16.7	18.0	-1.31	15.8	18.1	-2.27
Glenn Robinson	67	67	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.69	1	-2	3	16.0	19.0	-2.97	16.4	15.7	0.72
Sam Cassell	81	81	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.46	-7	6	-13	16.5	18.8	-2.26	15.6	19.5	-3.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.93,0.98,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.83,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 101, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.76,0.84,0.91,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.58,0	88.8%
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	88.8%
BOS 96, NJN 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.71,0.27,0	88.5%