inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 105 Excitement10.2 [71] MVPTrevor Ariza (WAS): +33.5%
Orlando Magic 101 Comeback57.5 [31] LVPArron Afflalo (ORL): -22.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.330,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.34,0.330.040.29-0.011655%0.362-0.02683%0.02
Marcin Gortat0.160,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.160.060.08-0.021356%0.191-0.03887%0.02
John Wall0.120,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,0.19,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.04,0.120.020.10-0.001851%0.333-0.20560%-0.04
Kevin Seraphin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.020.00367%0.0500.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.030.040.03358%0.0500.00683%0.01
Garrett Temple0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trevor Booker-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00955%0.052-0.05250%-0.02
Al Harrington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.080.00-0.070.011950%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Martell Webster-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.0040%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tobias Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.080.100.001466%0.252-0.074100%0.05
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.040.06-0.05560%0.093-0.0100%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.05-0.00-0.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01-0.010.01-0.02-0.001550%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.03-0.00560%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.0010%-0.021-0.0400%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.060.00942%-0.052-0.0610%-0.01
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.050.041637%-0.141-0.02367%0.05
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.06-0.16-0.002141%-0.182-0.052100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game20.21.826.216.429.31.528.21.619.2144.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +87.3%
ORL -6.9%
ORL -21.7%
ORL -6.7%
ORL -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASORLNBAWASORLNBA
this game15.115.615.1101.098.1105.2
season15.115.3103.8100.4
opponent15.015.5105.9102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
WAS14.415.515.118.310.415.1
ORL17.713.916.815.113.815.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcin Gortat84830.93-0.431.360.4317-133015.214.70.4916.312.43.95
Trevor Ariza87850.75-0.251.010.4012-82014.418.9-4.5415.814.51.31
Trevor Booker79770.72-0.220.950.3712-82014.317.7-3.3416.014.31.71
John Wall82790.67-0.170.840.3212-82014.218.6-4.3716.014.11.90
Bradley Beal81800.100.40-0.300.19-37-1015.713.32.4216.313.23.10
Martell Webster36370.030.47-0.440.12-37-1017.314.03.2614.616.1-1.46
Garrett Temple330.000.50-0.490.0004-40.315.6-15.252.316.0-13.65
Andre Miller2628-0.050.55-0.600.12-610-1615.914.91.0412.916.6-3.69
Drew Gooden1314-0.220.72-0.930.05-913-2216.015.00.9813.815.9-2.08
Al Harrington1617-0.220.72-0.940.05-913-2216.115.01.1614.215.9-1.68
Kevin Seraphin1312-0.220.72-0.94-0.13-37-1020.814.36.4314.915.7-0.75

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle O'Quinn45450.42-0.921.350.0114-183215.715.50.2314.915.3-0.45
Maurice Harkless59570.26-0.761.010.231-5616.414.51.9715.514.70.85
E'Twaun Moore3433-0.02-0.480.46-0.237-111814.116.3-2.1418.413.64.72
Jason Maxiell1212-0.11-0.390.27-0.03-3-1-216.315.50.8515.615.10.50
Tobias Harris6265-0.17-0.330.16-0.4610-142414.517.3-2.8015.414.70.64
Andrew Nicholson1717-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-62-814.215.9-1.6814.515.3-0.73
Arron Afflalo8285-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.21-84-1216.014.11.8714.518.1-3.62
Victor Oladipo7071-0.520.02-0.54-0.613-71014.418.1-3.7416.013.42.56
Jameer Nelson6466-0.770.27-1.04-0.33-1511-2616.414.32.1313.218.6-5.37
Nikola Vucevic7069-0.950.45-1.40-0.28-2319-4216.713.23.4915.215.10.05


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.7,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.92,0.46,0.75,0.54,0.55,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 126, DAL 1240.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.95,0.98,0.46,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.58,090.0%
ATL 116, TOR 1120.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.57,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.46,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.27,088.4%
POR 124, CHI 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.52,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.62,0.58,0.4,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.34,0.42,087.9%