inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 124 Excitement12.9 [6] MVPReggie Miller (IND): +56.1%
Indiana Pacers 120 Comeback10.8 [91] LVPAntonio Davis (IND): -30.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0.300,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.160.14-0.001486%0.423-0.1300%0.00
Grant Hill0.250,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.24,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.250.010.250.012062%0.343-0.092167%-0.08
Lindsey Hunter0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.13,0.130.150.040.051771%0.161-0.03887%0.09
Rick Mahorn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Litterial Green0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron McKie-0.000,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,00.01-0.04-0.03955%0.031-0.032100%0.01
Jerome Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.020.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.01440%-0.051-0.012100%0.01
Michael Curry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.00160%-0.002-0.063100%0.01
Don Reid-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.01938%-0.0700.00367%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.560.560.090.490.011475%0.674-0.118100%0.09
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.070.07-0.001070%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Fred Hoiberg0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.16,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.05-0.00644%0.101-0.094100%0.03
Travis Best0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.01-0.01-0.00550%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Jackson0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01-0.010.03-0.030.00861%0.011-0.022100%0.03
Brent Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dale Davis0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.060.01950%-0.0600.0020%-0.13
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.17-0.13-0.0380%-0.162-0.1000%0.00
Rik Smits0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.03,-0.08,-0.28-0.28-0.03-0.250.002451%-0.192-0.09978%0.02
Antonio Davis0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.05-0.250.001550%-0.203-0.10475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.02.523.015.027.12.434.51.520.2147.3
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +46.2%
DET +44.7%
IND -63.5%
DET +16.1%
DET +6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game15.915.515.6121.6118.8104.4
season17.115.3107.6103.6
opponent16.316.2101.9102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET16.117.216.415.512.615.9
IND16.615.515.715.113.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terry Mills66641.04-0.541.570.7111-71816.215.21.0215.814.90.96
Grant Hill76760.70-0.200.890.497-31015.118.1-3.0415.515.5-0.06
Otis Thorpe65650.68-0.180.860.74-26-815.816.0-0.1915.515.40.05
Lindsey Hunter91890.57-0.070.630.425-1615.618.1-2.5115.515.20.35
Aaron McKie92920.53-0.030.560.385-1615.816.5-0.7215.613.91.74
Theo Ratliff41410.260.240.02-0.0310-61616.915.21.6716.015.10.92
Rick Mahorn2425-0.070.57-0.640.02-37-1015.615.9-0.3015.815.40.43
Jerome Williams65-0.150.65-0.79-0.03-48-1215.015.9-0.9112.415.6-3.24
Don Reid65-0.150.65-0.79-0.03-48-1215.015.9-0.9112.415.6-3.24
Litterial Green11-0.420.92-1.35-0.31-48-120.016.0-16.016.015.6-9.57
Michael Curry4242-0.480.98-1.46-0.45-15-617.314.82.4814.716.0-1.26

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mark Jackson72720.47-0.971.440.267-111815.415.7-0.3015.317.2-1.86
Jalen Rose47460.25-0.751.000.37-40-414.916.0-1.0916.515.41.10
Erick Dampier30310.07-0.570.65-0.044-81215.215.6-0.3917.515.12.44
Brent Scott43-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-4412.715.6-2.8420.715.74.96
Rik Smits6360-0.11-0.390.28-0.05-2-2016.114.41.6515.616.2-0.61
Fred Hoiberg4444-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-40-415.215.7-0.5216.015.80.18
Reggie Miller7476-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.412-6815.615.20.3515.517.0-1.54
Antonio Davis5459-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-73-1014.916.2-1.3415.416.5-1.06
Dale Davis7576-0.830.33-1.15-0.65-62-816.213.42.7615.816.1-0.30
Travis Best4244-1.400.90-2.30-1.05-128-2015.515.50.0016.015.80.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.66,0.85,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 112, PHX 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.41,0.1,089.3%
MIA 93, ORL 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.98,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.42,089.3%
LAL 99, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.64,0.8,0.95,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.27,088.5%