inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 93 Excitement10.6 [51] MVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): +14.3%
Orlando Magic 90 Comeback554.6 [3] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -31.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0.140,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.140.070.080.00862%0.1400.00862%-0.05
Henry Walker0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09-0.040.13-0.001336%0.0900.002100%0.01
Luol Deng0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.10-0.010.011462%0.0800.00667%-0.02
Shabazz Napier0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.000.05-0.00383%0.132-0.0700%0.00
James Ennis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01450%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03-0.070.050.001036%0.032-0.062100%0.04
Chris Andersen-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.05-0.01340%-0.003-0.11450%-0.02
Mario Chalmers-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.06-0.120.001033%-0.171-0.01475%0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.14,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.17,-0.3,-0.31-0.11-0.190.021941%-0.084-0.24683%0.06

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001060%0.0600.0000%0.00
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00671%0.092-0.06250%-0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00375%0.041-0.0220%-0.03
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00362%0.041-0.042100%0.01
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00237%0.021-0.03425%-0.05
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.040.011150%0.012-0.072100%0.02
Victor Oladipo0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26-0.26-0.11-0.140.011341%-0.034-0.22683%0.03
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26-0.26-0.17-0.10-0.01815%-0.183-0.08425%-0.04
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.11,0,-0.27-0.27-0.02-0.240.002151%-0.004-0.27967%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.92.033.316.428.41.745.22.617.4170.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +8.8%
MIA +9.2%
MIA +13.4%
MIA +16.7%
MIA +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAORLNBAMIAORLNBA
this game16.814.815.191.290.9104.2
season16.014.9102.4100.4
opponent15.315.3105.9105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA17.815.717.018.414.016.8
ORL14.316.315.014.512.814.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Henry Walker67650.91-0.411.310.765-2716.417.6-1.2114.116.1-1.95
Luol Deng79760.69-0.190.890.439-61516.119.4-3.3014.615.3-0.74
Goran Dragic80770.68-0.180.860.3611-81916.518.0-1.4314.814.70.06
Dwyane Wade72700.52-0.020.530.259-61516.318.1-1.7915.014.30.61
Mario Chalmers63620.130.37-0.230.1012-116.916.70.1914.814.70.12
Hassan Whiteside65630.110.39-0.290.0812-118.114.63.4316.112.43.75
James Ennis99-0.020.52-0.540.01-14-516.616.9-0.3012.015.1-3.06
Udonis Haslem2321-0.140.64-0.790.06-710-1719.016.22.7414.414.9-0.50
Shabazz Napier2222-0.180.68-0.860.05-811-1918.016.51.4314.714.8-0.06
Chris Andersen3030-0.190.69-0.88-0.04-58-1316.616.9-0.3314.414.9-0.54

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gordon16170.24-0.740.99-0.1112-152715.014.70.2717.516.70.84
Luke Ridnour17160.21-0.710.930.046-91515.914.51.4018.716.52.20
Dewayne Dedmon32330.17-0.670.85-0.068-111914.215.0-0.8317.216.70.52
Channing Frye25250.15-0.650.790.063-6915.614.51.1518.716.22.50
Evan Fournier5352-0.15-0.350.20-0.4711-142514.215.4-1.1516.117.6-1.46
Elfrid Payton7177-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-118-1915.113.91.2317.016.40.63
Victor Oladipo7982-0.500.00-0.50-0.38-41-514.715.0-0.3416.518.1-1.64
Nikola Vucevic7779-0.700.20-0.90-0.38-118-1914.814.70.1216.218.9-2.63
Willie Green5456-0.780.28-1.06-0.46-118-1914.415.2-0.8616.417.3-0.86
Tobias Harris7173-0.790.29-1.09-0.27-1815-3314.814.70.0417.116.10.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.98,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 124, IND 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.66,0.85,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.27,089.3%
DAL 115, IND 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.78,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.32,0.58,089.0%
MIN 106, UTA 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,089.0%