NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	115		Excitement	13.3 [9]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +46.0%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	9.3 [189]		LVP	Al Harrington (IND): -24.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.22,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.12,0.4,0.46	0.19	0.29	0.01	24	65%	0.63	3	-0.18	18	83%	0.12
Jason Terry	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.33,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.42	0.15	0.26	-0.01	18	67%	0.69	3	-0.27	9	78%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	6	72%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	42%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	19	39%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	8	18%	-0.09	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	4	25%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.49,0.35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	11	67%	0.35	0	0.00	11	91%	0.09
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	4	89%	0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.06	-0.01	14	69%	0.09	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.25,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	13	45%	0.08	1	-0.07	12	58%	-0.14
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.07	0.02	22	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	10	33%	-0.01	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.00	5	33%	-0.08	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	31.4	15.4	29.4	1.8	44.8	1.5	20.4	173.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.2%

DAL +9.6%

IND -3.5%

IND -4.1%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.4	112.7	111.9	104.5
season	16.3	15.3		108.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		103.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	16.0	14.8	18.3	17.1	16.0	16.4
IND	14.7	14.6	16.0	15.6	12.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	86	84	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.43	18	-16	34	16.6	15.4	1.23	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Greg Buckner	38	37	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.74	3	-1	4	15.0	17.2	-2.21	14.4	15.2	-0.88
Josh Howard	85	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-6	14	16.6	15.4	1.20	15.1	14.1	0.99
Jason Terry	81	80	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-7	16	16.9	14.4	2.56	15.0	14.5	0.55
Devean George	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.44	-6	8	-14	16.1	16.7	-0.61	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Devin Harris	24	26	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	0	2	17.7	16.0	1.64	14.9	14.9	-0.04
Erick Dampier	61	60	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	-4	10	17.0	15.5	1.46	15.1	14.7	0.38
Anthony Johnson	18	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	9	-16	13.0	17.1	-4.14	13.4	15.2	-1.80
DJ Mbenga	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	5	-8	10.4	16.7	-6.32	11.6	15.1	-3.48
Jerry Stackhouse	41	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	12	-22	16.5	16.4	0.13	15.0	14.9	0.11
DeSagana Diop	21	22	-0.54	1.04	-1.59	-0.25	-10	12	-22	17.1	16.2	0.86	16.9	14.4	2.50

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	31	28	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-7	12	16.0	14.4	1.52	16.6	16.3	0.32
Orien Greene	1	2	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-2	2	5.0	15.0	-10.01	15.5	16.4	-0.93
Maceo Baston	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	2	-6	11.7	15.3	-3.59	11.4	17.1	-5.76
Jermaine O'Neal	73	76	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-6	10	15.0	14.7	0.32	17.0	14.6	2.41
Sarunas Jasikevicius	26	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-2	2	16.1	14.5	1.57	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Darrell Armstrong	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	0	-2	15.0	14.9	0.10	18.7	16.3	2.40
Al Harrington	87	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.29	-3	1	-4	14.9	15.1	-0.27	16.3	17.0	-0.67
Danny Granger	70	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-1	0	14.7	15.4	-0.73	16.5	16.3	0.16
Jamaal Tinsley	73	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.50	-2	0	-2	14.2	16.9	-2.69	16.3	16.7	-0.43
Stephen Jackson	78	78	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.58	-1	-1	0	14.8	15.2	-0.40	16.9	14.7	2.17
Jeff Foster	48	48	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.50	-6	4	-10	15.9	14.1	1.80	16.4	16.4	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.78,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	90.4%
CHI 113, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	90.4%
MIA 93, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.77,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.98,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.32,0.42,0	89.0%