NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	113		Excitement	12.4 [16]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +24.1%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	18.7 [25]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -39.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.00	12	64%	0.28	3	-0.16	4	100%	0.07
Joakim Noah	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	71%	0.12	2	-0.11	5	80%	0.02
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.19,0	-0.05	0.07	0.01	8	31%	0.19	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Derrick Rose	-0.39	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.2,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.17,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.46,-0.51,-0.56,-0.64,-0.64,-0.39	-0.21	-0.17	0.01	33	45%	-0.08	11	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.09	-0.00	17	63%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.12	-0.03	14	33%	0.13	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	9	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	23	45%	0.12	3	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	-0.19	0.02	-0.19	0.02	27	55%	-0.00	4	-0.19	1	0%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	4	0%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	28.5	15.4	22.7	1.8	37.3	2.5	15.2	149.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.6%

CHI +24.5%

CHI +16.7%

GSW -28.0%

CHI +13.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	12.8	15.1	102.7	100.9	104.2
season	15.5	13.6		105.4	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.2		99.7	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.4	15.5	15.5	15.9	19.4	16.1
GSW	9.7	14.0	13.9	13.5	13.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	80	81	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.54	10	-8	18	16.0	16.3	-0.28	12.6	13.4	-0.81
Derrick Rose	91	90	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.51	10	-8	18	16.2	15.7	0.54	12.4	14.3	-1.92
Pau Gasol	87	88	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.50	7	-5	12	15.9	17.0	-1.10	12.3	14.9	-2.60
Joakim Noah	82	81	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.60	3	-1	4	16.4	15.4	0.94	13.5	10.9	2.61
Nikola Mirotic	62	62	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-4	10	16.0	16.3	-0.37	13.6	11.7	1.87
Taj Gibson	50	50	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.11	-3	5	-8	16.0	16.2	-0.27	12.6	12.9	-0.30
Tony Snell	49	49	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.01	-7	9	-16	16.5	15.8	0.65	11.7	13.6	-1.93
Aaron Brooks	27	27	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.13	-6	8	-14	15.7	16.3	-0.56	14.3	12.3	2.01
E'Twaun Moore	22	22	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.03	-10	12	-22	16.5	16.0	0.52	13.1	12.7	0.44

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	45	44	0.51	-1.01	1.51	0.51	0	-2	2	13.5	12.3	1.20	15.9	16.3	-0.44
Justin Holiday	20	21	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.12	4	-6	10	11.1	13.2	-2.06	16.3	16.1	0.25
James Michael McAdoo	3	2	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-2	2	13.3	12.8	0.57	9.0	16.3	-7.26
Shaun Livingston	19	18	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-3	4	15.8	12.2	3.64	16.8	16.0	0.78
David Lee	60	62	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	3	-8	13.5	11.9	1.62	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Marreese Speights	48	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-5	8	11.9	13.5	-1.53	16.2	16.1	0.12
Stephen Curry	91	92	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	12.2	15.8	-3.64	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Harrison Barnes	82	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-1	0	12.8	12.6	0.23	16.4	15.3	1.02
Draymond Green	83	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.61	-1	-1	0	12.2	14.7	-2.50	16.1	16.3	-0.29
Klay Thompson	90	89	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.56	-6	4	-10	13.2	11.1	2.06	16.1	16.3	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 115, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.78,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.32,0.58,0	90.4%
LAL 106, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.46,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.26,0	90.0%
CLE 114, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.91,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.28,0	89.7%