NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	12.1 [22]		MVP	Ronald Murray (CLE): +48.1%
Washington Wizards	113		Comeback	23.7 [35]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -43.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0.48	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48	0.14	0.35	0.01	12	70%	0.48	0	0.00	6	100%	0.15
Donyell Marshall	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.20	0.17	-0.00	15	82%	0.39	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.37	0.02	0.35	0.00	1	100%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	25	60%	0.35	5	-0.27	3	33%	-0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Drew Gooden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.25	-0.06	-0.21	-0.01	8	40%	0.06	2	-0.32	4	100%	0.06
Larry Hughes	-0.43	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.20	-0.23	-0.00	17	25%	-0.23	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	8	81%	0.28	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.13	0.01	15	65%	0.28	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.06
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.1	0.10	0.14	-0.03	-0.00	27	58%	0.23	3	-0.12	8	50%	-0.21
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.05	0.12	-0.01	3	30%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.06	-0.16	-0.01	17	42%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24	-0.24	-0.09	-0.13	0.02	18	41%	-0.14	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	33.0	18.6	32.9	3.8	48.4	1.5	18.2	186.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +93.4%

WAS -0.1%

WAS -8.9%

WAS -52.1%

CLE +17.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.0	15.6	110.7	109.7	104.4
season	16.2	15.1		105.6	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	19.3	14.6	16.0	13.9	15.9	15.9
WAS	13.5	16.6	14.0	14.3	19.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	76	76	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-15	31	15.1	18.0	-2.92	16.0	12.1	3.90
Ronald Murray	74	75	0.79	-0.28	1.07	0.32	16	-15	31	14.6	19.1	-4.43	15.9	12.6	3.27
Damon Jones	1	1	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.57	2	-1	3	0.0	16.0	-16.04	4.0	15.1	-11.10
LeBron James	103	103	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	15.9	0.0	15.88	15.0	0.0	14.99
Larry Hughes	96	97	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	-2	5	16.1	12.3	3.86	15.1	13.5	1.58
Eric Snow	65	63	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	10	-19	16.4	15.1	1.27	13.9	16.7	-2.75
Anderson Varejao	33	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.23	1	0	1	15.1	16.2	-1.12	15.5	14.7	0.84
Drew Gooden	26	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.09	-11	12	-23	19.5	14.7	4.84	12.0	15.9	-3.90
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	40	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.10	-14	15	-29	16.9	15.2	1.69	14.5	15.3	-0.84

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	53	53	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.02	9	-10	19	15.0	14.9	0.10	17.2	14.4	2.81
Etan Thomas	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-1	1	14.5	15.0	-0.54	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Michael Ruffin	20	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.15	-12	11	-23	16.1	14.7	1.44	13.4	16.5	-3.08
Antawn Jamison	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.61	8	-9	17	15.1	14.7	0.33	17.1	12.7	4.40
Gilbert Arenas	103	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	15.0	0.0	14.99	15.9	0.0	15.88
Jared Jeffries	70	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.65	5	-6	11	14.0	17.2	-3.18	16.4	14.6	1.77
Caron Butler	101	102	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.43	-4	3	-7	15.1	9.0	6.11	15.8	27.0	-11.23
Antonio Daniels	83	82	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	9	-19	15.4	13.4	1.97	14.4	21.7	-7.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.72,0.91,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.46,0.32,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 101, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.51,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.84,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.33,0.16,0	89.8%
CHI 113, GSW 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.62,0.79,0.95,0.73,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.42,0	89.7%
WAS 114, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.54,0.45,0.16,0.11,0.02,0	89.5%