NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	11.3 [36]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (MIN): +36.4%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	23.6 [34]		LVP	Trey Burke (UTA): -46.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36	0.09	0.27	-0.00	7	81%	0.38	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Chase Budinger	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	13	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.05	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	19	56%	0.31	7	-0.26	10	80%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	8	55%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Adreian Payne	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.08	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.04
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	19	54%	0.14	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	-0.00	11	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.10	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.12
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Cotton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	54%	0.10	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.05
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.10	0.01	10	90%	0.17	6	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.16,-0.22,-0.15,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.4,-0.47	-0.47	-0.21	-0.28	-0.02	22	32%	-0.34	5	-0.13	6	100%	0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	28.2	15.4	22.6	2.3	37.5	1.5	27.4	160.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +96.1%

UTA -8.0%

UTA -26.5%

UTA -14.8%

MIN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	17.6	15.1	111.6	107.2	104.2
season	15.0	16.2		101.2	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		103.7	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	16.4	14.7	18.8	14.2	13.8	15.5
UTA	17.9	15.3	24.7	16.0	14.3	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Kilpatrick	39	43	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-12	26	14.9	16.0	-1.07	13.7	20.7	-7.01
Chase Budinger	72	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-2	6	15.1	16.9	-1.83	16.9	19.8	-2.95
Andrew Wiggins	88	88	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	3	-4	15.5	15.7	-0.20	18.1	12.6	5.54
Gorgui Dieng	79	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	1	0	15.3	16.5	-1.17	18.1	15.1	2.94
Zach LaVine	80	83	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	5	-8	15.8	14.1	1.73	17.8	16.5	1.26
Lorenzo Brown	78	77	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	6	-10	15.6	15.3	0.28	19.0	12.2	6.77
Adreian Payne	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.15	-1	3	-4	16.7	14.7	2.07	17.9	17.4	0.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Hood	36	37	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.09	9	-11	20	18.1	17.3	0.80	15.9	15.3	0.60
Jeremy Evans	5	6	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	14.4	17.7	-3.35	11.0	15.8	-4.83
Trey Burke	69	68	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.33	9	-11	20	17.6	17.5	0.11	15.5	15.6	-0.14
Dante Exum	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	18.4	16.9	1.49	15.0	16.0	-0.96
Rudy Gobert	73	72	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.18	0	-2	2	18.8	13.9	4.86	15.9	14.4	1.44
Elijah Millsap	57	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-5	8	16.5	19.1	-2.68	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Bryce Cotton	23	22	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	5	-12	15.7	18.2	-2.47	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Trevor Booker	39	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	4	-10	16.8	18.1	-1.22	16.5	15.0	1.52
Derrick Favors	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-2	2	16.9	20.5	-3.67	15.3	16.4	-1.13
Joe Ingles	60	59	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.57	-9	7	-16	18.6	15.9	2.72	15.8	15.1	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.96,0.5,0.47,0.37,0.09,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 114, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	90.6%
DAL 94, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.07,0.02,0	90.5%
ATL 102, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.35,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.9,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.23,0.09,0	90.4%