NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	2.7 [1239]		MVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): +8.6%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	1.1 [931]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOH): -8.6%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.04	16	64%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.05	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bernard James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Akognon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	20	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	8	81%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	62%	0.03	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Darius Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	16	34%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	0.00	10	80%	-0.01
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	17	44%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	24.4	15.5	22.5	2.3	28.5	119.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.6%

DAL +2.2%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOH	NBA	DAL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	17.8	15.4	123.0	102.3	104.1
season	14.5	16.3		104.3	103.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		108.1	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.2	14.4	18.5	15.7	15.3
NOH	19.0	18.4	16.7	17.0	17.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	53	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.20	20	-2	22	14.9	16.0	-1.09	17.7	17.9	-0.18
O.J. Mayo	61	61	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.07	14	4	10	15.7	14.4	1.35	18.6	15.8	2.80
Shawn Marion	57	56	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	3	12	15.3	15.3	0.00	18.2	17.1	1.10
Vince Carter	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.22	19	-1	20	15.8	14.8	1.00	17.5	18.1	-0.54
Brandan Wright	42	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.19	17	1	16	15.4	15.3	0.09	18.1	17.5	0.57
Dirk Nowitzki	47	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	10	-2	15.8	14.8	0.94	18.1	17.4	0.65
Jae Crowder	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.04	6	12	-6	14.5	15.9	-1.37	17.5	18.0	-0.49
Chris Kaman	39	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	13	-8	15.8	15.0	0.79	18.3	17.3	0.93
Mike James	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	20	-22	16.0	14.9	1.09	17.9	17.7	0.18
Bernard James	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	12.2	15.6	-3.40	12.3	18.2	-5.84
Anthony Morrow	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	12.2	15.6	-3.40	12.3	18.2	-5.84
Josh Akognon	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	12.2	15.6	-3.40	12.3	18.2	-5.84

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	12.3	18.2	-5.84	12.2	15.6	-3.40
Roger Mason Jr.	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	-11	4	18.0	17.7	0.28	12.1	16.0	-3.87
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-13	8	17.7	17.9	-0.27	14.7	16.2	-1.49
Lou Amundson	27	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-9	0	18.5	17.4	1.09	15.6	15.2	0.33
Eric Gordon	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-16	14	18.2	16.9	1.30	16.5	13.1	3.36
Robin Lopez	60	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-9	0	17.4	18.5	-1.09	15.2	15.6	-0.33
Brian Roberts	49	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-4	-10	17.2	18.6	-1.39	15.0	15.8	-0.86
Greivis Vasquez	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.12	-16	-2	-14	18.2	16.7	1.46	16.1	13.1	2.99
Ryan Anderson	72	70	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-8	-2	18.4	14.7	3.75	16.0	12.4	3.63
Xavier Henry	37	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.20	-20	2	-22	16.9	18.4	-1.53	14.0	16.3	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 110, CHI 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 107, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DET 92, WAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%