NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	110		Excitement	2.3 [1234]		MVP	Jason Terry (ATL): +7.3%
Chicago Bulls	88		Comeback	1.2 [501]		LVP	Eddy Curry (CHI): -5.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	14	82%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	76%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	0.06	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	64%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	15	37%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.08	12	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	53%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	8	28%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	13	36%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	-0.04	2	-0.02	11	64%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.02	11	57%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.0	29.1	15.5	25.3	2.5	26.4	126.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.4%

ATL +0.5%

ATL +3.2%

ATL +5.0%

ATL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	16.2	15.5	120.9	94.6	101.6
season	15.1	15.0		99.5	98.3
opponent	15.1	15.7		103.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.6	15.8	17.0	15.5	15.1
CHI	16.7	16.2	17.3	14.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	63	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.20	23	-1	24	15.0	15.3	-0.30	16.8	14.8	2.01
Jason Terry	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	4	14	15.2	14.8	0.40	16.8	13.1	3.72
Theo Ratliff	45	45	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	3	16	13.7	16.6	-2.90	18.0	14.5	3.48
Ira Newble	48	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	9	4	15.7	14.5	1.26	17.0	15.2	1.81
Glenn Robinson	60	62	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	7	8	14.8	15.8	-0.97	17.4	13.6	3.77
Dion Glover	45	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	10	2	15.2	15.1	0.05	16.3	16.0	0.25
Nazr Mohammed	44	45	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.01	4	18	-14	16.5	13.8	2.74	14.2	18.0	-3.80
Dan Dickau	22	23	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	16	-10	15.2	15.1	0.13	12.8	17.3	-4.43
Alan Henderson	20	20	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	28	-34	16.3	14.8	1.50	16.5	16.1	0.43
Darvin Ham	22	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	20	-18	16.2	14.8	1.38	13.7	16.9	-3.25
Brandon Williams	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	10.7	15.4	-4.78	10.0	16.7	-6.66
Jermaine Jackson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	10.7	15.4	-4.78	10.0	16.7	-6.66

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	12.7	16.8	-4.09	15.8	15.0	0.77
Lonny Baxter	35	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.11	-6	-16	10	15.8	16.4	-0.63	15.6	14.9	0.66
Fred Hoiberg	47	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	-13	4	15.4	17.0	-1.57	15.3	14.9	0.40
Jamal Crawford	45	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-13	4	16.4	15.9	0.46	16.2	14.2	1.92
Donyell Marshall	38	35	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-13	4	16.6	15.9	0.75	16.1	14.5	1.64
Eddy Curry	46	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-16	10	16.8	15.6	1.19	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Jay Williams	48	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.13	-13	-9	-4	15.9	16.4	-0.46	14.2	16.2	-1.92
Trenton Hassell	46	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	-9	-4	17.0	15.4	1.57	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Tyson Chandler	67	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	1	-24	15.7	17.3	-1.64	14.6	16.7	-2.14
Jalen Rose	78	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.23	-25	3	-28	16.8	12.7	4.09	15.0	15.8	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, TOR 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIL 105, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
DAL 107, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%