NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	2.1 [1232]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): +6.8%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	1.0 [284]		LVP	Sam Perkins (IND): -6.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.07	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.07	16	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.02
Tim Thomas	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	75%	0.08	4	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	20	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.13	0.00	-0.12	20	35%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	13	57%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	29%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.05	18	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	86%	0.00	6	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.04	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.6	15.4	23.2	1.6	25.4	119.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +28.3%

MIL +3.2%

MIL +13.5%

MIL +5.2%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	IND	NBA	MIL	IND	NBA
this game	15.2	14.9	15.2	109.4	88.4	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		105.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.4		101.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.7	14.6	16.5	16.4	15.2
IND	14.0	15.4	14.8	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.09	19	2	17	16.4	11.4	4.97	14.3	17.0	-2.61
Glenn Robinson	63	64	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.12	20	1	19	16.3	13.2	3.14	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Ray Allen	82	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	3	15	15.0	16.4	-1.39	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Darvin Ham	53	55	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.21	20	1	19	15.2	15.3	-0.11	13.7	16.6	-2.87
Ervin Johnson	40	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.15	15	6	9	16.2	14.6	1.65	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Danny Manning	38	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	13	-5	13.7	16.3	-2.62	16.6	13.9	2.69
Rafer Alston	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	14	-7	12.6	16.5	-3.83	17.0	13.9	3.14
Scott Williams	43	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.09	1	20	-19	15.3	15.2	0.11	16.6	13.7	2.87
Tim Thomas	52	49	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	24	-27	15.1	15.4	-0.35	15.4	14.4	1.06
Robert Traylor	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	9.0	15.4	-6.37	9.0	15.1	-6.11
Mirsad Turkcan	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	9.0	15.4	-6.37	9.0	15.1	-6.11

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zan Tabak	11	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-25	29	11.8	15.3	-3.50	20.1	14.7	5.43
Al Harrington	32	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-20	19	15.7	14.5	1.26	16.3	14.7	1.66
Sam Perkins	32	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-20	19	15.7	14.5	1.26	16.5	14.6	1.99
Derrick McKey	32	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-6	-9	17.7	13.5	4.13	14.7	15.5	-0.78
Travis Best	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.13	-11	-10	-1	15.8	14.1	1.76	15.8	14.8	1.00
Mark Jackson	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.01	-10	-11	1	14.1	15.8	-1.76	14.8	15.8	-1.00
Austin Croshere	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.13	-16	-5	-11	14.5	15.5	-1.02	14.6	16.2	-1.67
Rik Smits	60	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.04	-14	-7	-7	14.0	16.4	-2.35	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Reggie Miller	77	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	2	-25	15.1	14.1	0.99	14.2	20.3	-6.14
Jalen Rose	79	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.07	-18	-3	-15	14.3	17.8	-3.48	15.9	12.0	3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
BOS 108, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
BOS 100, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%