NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	109		Excitement	1.9 [1247]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +6.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Comeback	1.0 [859]		LVP	Derek Anderson (CLE): -7.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.15	0.00	0.09	12	89%	0.07	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	15	66%	0.06	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Aaron Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.08	9	45%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	6	42%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.10	8	58%	0.03	5	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	44%	0.00	2	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dale Ellis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
David Wingate	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	5	25%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scott Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	70%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	69%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Tony Dumas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	5	31%	-0.00	3	-0.00	3	0%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	13	58%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	44%	-0.00	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	10	50%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.18	0.00	-0.11	11	30%	-0.05	3	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	0.00	-0.07	7	25%	-0.03	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	24.2	15.4	25.4	1.8	27.2	121.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.6%

SEA +6.2%

SEA +9.3%

SEA +11.0%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	CLE	NBA	SEA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.4	15.6	116.0	86.6	102.5
season	15.3	15.4		109.3	99.4
opponent	16.0	16.2		97.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.5	19.1	13.8	15.5	15.8
CLE	13.4	15.2	13.9	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	55	57	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.31	26	-1	27	15.4	16.4	-1.03	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Gary Payton	66	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.45	30	-5	35	15.8	15.7	0.13	13.9	15.5	-1.59
Vin Baker	55	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.59	34	-9	43	15.6	16.1	-0.50	14.8	13.8	0.98
Hersey Hawkins	45	46	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.30	24	1	23	16.1	15.5	0.58	16.0	12.9	3.18
Jim McIlvaine	32	32	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.20	16	9	7	15.1	16.2	-1.04	16.1	13.5	2.52
Dale Ellis	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	15	-5	18.4	13.9	4.51	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Sam Perkins	22	24	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	18	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.28	11.8	15.2	-3.37
Aaron Williams	45	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	24	-23	15.8	15.8	0.07	14.0	14.7	-0.76
Greg Anthony	35	37	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	31	-37	18.0	14.5	3.54	14.8	14.1	0.71
David Wingate	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	26	-27	15.5	16.0	-0.44	14.0	14.6	-0.65
Stephen Howard	18	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	33	-41	12.6	16.6	-4.02	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Eric Snow	20	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	33	-41	12.3	16.7	-4.39	14.8	14.3	0.50

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawnelle Scott	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-33	41	15.2	14.1	1.11	12.7	16.7	-3.98
Scott Brooks	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-34	43	15.2	14.1	1.06	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Henry James	24	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-34	43	15.2	14.1	1.06	15.5	15.9	-0.44
Danny Ferry	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.33	9	-34	43	14.9	14.1	0.83	18.4	14.3	4.03
Tony Dumas	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-16	7	11.5	16.0	-4.42	15.9	15.7	0.17
Vitaly Potapenko	32	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-19	13	12.3	15.4	-3.03	19.2	14.4	4.80
Derek Anderson	48	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.39	-23	-2	-21	13.0	15.7	-2.67	16.0	15.6	0.47
Brevin Knight	43	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-14	3	17.5	11.9	5.56	16.8	15.0	1.72
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	36	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.20	-18	-7	-11	15.9	13.4	2.50	16.3	15.5	0.85
Wesley Person	62	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.40	-27	2	-29	13.7	15.6	-1.97	14.7	17.7	-2.93
Cedric Henderson	64	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.48	-30	5	-35	14.7	13.8	0.93	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Shawn Kemp	61	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.62	-36	11	-47	14.2	14.7	-0.56	14.3	18.3	-4.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, MIL 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
CHI 118, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
GSW 132, LAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%