NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	2.1 [1290]		MVP	J.R. Smith (CLE): +12.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	80		Comeback	1.0 [484]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -6.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	0.00	0.06	12	87%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	11	71%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.01	0.06	6	85%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	11	45%	0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.05	9	85%	0.06	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	71%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	5	80%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	18	61%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Inglis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	17	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	19	40%	-0.06	2	-0.01	10	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.4	26.2	15.4	22.5	2.3	24.6	116.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +48.2%

CLE +6.9%

CLE +2.6%

MIL -8.0%

CLE +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	14.9	117.2	84.2	105.1
season	15.8	14.8		110.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	14.9		107.2	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.5	14.1	15.5	16.2	14.8
MIL	16.5	15.3	13.4	18.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	55	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.27	22	7	15	14.7	14.9	-0.25	15.2	16.8	-1.61
J.R. Smith	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.16	18	11	7	14.8	14.7	0.15	15.5	16.3	-0.86
Kevin Love	50	51	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	12	5	15.0	14.6	0.40	15.4	16.4	-0.95
Kyrie Irving	53	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	13	3	14.8	14.8	-0.05	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Timofey Mozgov	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	18	-7	15.2	14.4	0.72	15.1	16.5	-1.42
Tristan Thompson	36	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.29	18	11	7	13.4	15.6	-2.21	15.7	15.9	-0.20
Matthew Dellavedova	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	16	-3	13.2	15.3	-2.05	15.9	15.8	0.08
Channing Frye	43	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	17	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.40	16.4	15.4	0.95
Iman Shumpert	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.16	10	19	-9	13.6	15.4	-1.76	15.5	16.0	-0.52
Richard Jefferson	38	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	22	-15	14.9	14.7	0.25	16.8	15.2	1.61
Mo Williams	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	17.1	14.3	2.84	18.3	15.3	2.97
James Jones	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	17.1	14.4	2.70	18.6	15.4	3.19
Jordan McRae	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	18.6	14.4	4.19	19.3	15.5	3.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Inglis	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-28	27	19.3	15.5	3.84	18.6	14.4	4.19
Miles Plumlee	37	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	-16	3	16.9	15.2	1.75	15.4	14.4	1.05
John Henson	13	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	-18	7	16.9	15.7	1.24	13.3	15.0	-1.70
Tyler Ennis	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-14	-1	16.8	14.7	2.14	14.9	14.7	0.21
Johnny O'Bryant	62	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.20	-16	-13	-3	14.9	17.7	-2.78	15.3	13.7	1.61
Greg Monroe	52	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.12	-14	-15	1	15.1	16.8	-1.76	14.5	15.1	-0.64
Jabari Parker	84	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.25	-23	-6	-17	15.4	19.6	-4.28	14.4	17.4	-2.94
Rashad Vaughn	88	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.36	-27	-2	-25	16.0	14.3	1.69	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Giannis Antetokounmpo	79	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	-4	-21	15.8	16.1	-0.25	14.4	16.8	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 109, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	98.2%
WAS 114, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
LAC 119, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	97.5%