inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 114 Excitement1.9 [1299] MVPLarry Hughes (WAS): +4.9%
Atlanta Hawks 90 Comeback1.0 [622] LVPJosh Childress (ATL): -5.4%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Larry Hughes0.050,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.031656%0.072-0.022100%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.00-0.03479%0.052-0.01683%0.01
Antawn Jamison0.040,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.001154%0.0400.002100%0.00
Juan Dixon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.041265%0.0410.002100%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0.030,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.03776%0.051-0.013100%0.01
Jared Jeffries0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.000.03775%0.041-0.01250%-0.01
Kwame Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03650%-0.0210.00850%-0.02
Anthony Peeler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02935%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Jarvis Hayes-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.01850%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
Michael Ruffin-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.070.00-0.04337%-0.012-0.02250%-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.00450%0.0000.00250%0.00
Predrag Drobnjak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jelani McCoy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.020.000.021100%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Collier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.002100%0.032-0.0300%0.00
Kenny Anderson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02669%0.013-0.041100%-0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02679%0.004-0.03250%0.00
Al Harrington0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.031344%-0.0300.001060%-0.01
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.02275%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.002346%-0.0500.001182%-0.01
Tony Delk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.12-0.01-0.081035%-0.023-0.03333%-0.01
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.180.00-0.12540%0.018-0.0600%0.00
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.10-0.00-0.0540%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.827.516.632.12.526.5132.6
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +28.9%
WAS +2.2%
WAS +1.5%
WAS +15.8%
WAS +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASATLNBAWASATLNBA
this game14.514.915.5116.391.8104.0
season14.715.6104.798.1
opponent15.115.5108.1105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS11.016.014.017.514.5
ATL15.616.714.213.014.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Jeffries61630.460.040.42-0.132041613.017.0-4.0414.415.7-1.30
Antawn Jamison55540.450.050.40-0.262402412.617.0-4.3515.214.50.64
Brendan Haywood56550.450.050.39-0.142041613.016.5-3.5214.315.7-1.38
Gilbert Arenas58570.420.070.35-0.4028-43212.617.2-4.5914.815.0-0.13
Larry Hughes58570.420.070.35-0.4028-43212.617.2-4.5914.815.0-0.13
Anthony Peeler40410.070.42-0.350.19-428-3217.212.64.5915.014.80.13
Juan Dixon40410.070.42-0.350.19-428-3217.212.64.5915.014.80.13
Michael Ruffin37360.070.43-0.36-0.17816-816.113.52.6116.613.92.70
Kwame Brown36380.050.45-0.40-0.10519-1416.713.23.5415.214.60.59
Jarvis Hayes49480.030.47-0.440.17-529-3417.411.65.8014.315.4-1.15

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jelani McCoy1618-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-222015.614.70.8216.414.12.37
Josh Smith1920-0.05-0.450.39-0.236-303612.115.6-3.5016.114.12.00
Predrag Drobnjak2020-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-283211.615.7-4.1217.413.83.63
Josh Childress3536-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-262811.616.7-5.1014.714.40.34
Boris Diaw5253-0.15-0.350.19-0.150-242415.314.40.9216.512.14.39
Jon Barry2826-0.20-0.300.110.24-15-9-617.014.03.0213.814.7-0.90
Jason Collier2627-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-11-215.714.61.1612.015.5-3.52
Kenny Anderson4445-0.23-0.270.050.27-17-7-1014.315.4-1.0614.614.40.17
Kevin Willis3735-0.24-0.260.030.06-10-14415.614.41.2413.914.8-0.93
Tony Delk5250-0.38-0.12-0.260.27-22-2-2016.812.74.1113.016.1-3.16
Antoine Walker7272-0.41-0.09-0.310.39-273-3014.914.70.2513.617.1-3.49
Al Harrington8988-0.47-0.03-0.450.29-262-2815.013.81.2114.613.70.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 113, OKC 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.1%
NJN 120, DEN 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.7%
CLE 124, BOS 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.7%