inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 99 Excitement10.4 [54] MVPVince Carter (DAL): +32.4%
Dallas Mavericks 96 Comeback5.5 [88] LVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): -23.5%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eric Gordon0.270,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,0.07,0.27-0.040.31-0.001345%0.413-0.145100%0.04
Greivis Vasquez0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.011866%0.151-0.0220%-0.18
Jason Smith0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.08-0.001060%0.242-0.1400%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0.050,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.030.01662%0.071-0.034100%0.03
Ryan Anderson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.001553%0.151-0.1100%0.00
Lance Thomas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01850%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Anthony Davis-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00350%0.001-0.032100%0.01
Brian Roberts-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00527%-0.021-0.021100%0.00
Austin Rivers-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.320.320.100.230.001171%0.351-0.022100%0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00560%0.0800.0000%0.00
Elton Brand0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.001060%0.0600.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.040.04-0.070.10-0.001233%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.011653%0.102-0.06667%-0.14
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00367%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.04-0.070.02775%0.082-0.122100%0.01
O.J. Mayo0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0,-0.08,-0.23-0.23-0.05-0.19-0.001738%-0.211-0.023100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.12.525.616.723.42.529.62.012.6139.0
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.12.017.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +37.7%
NOH +7.4%
NOH +16.1%
DAL -20.6%
NOH +9.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHDALNBANOHDALNBA
this game17.415.415.4103.198.0104.1
season16.314.5103.9104.3
opponent15.615.6105.0108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOH15.019.618.617.516.617.4
DAL15.715.615.014.616.815.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Smith47500.93-0.421.350.6011-81918.016.91.0816.314.32.01
Greivis Vasquez74770.69-0.190.880.3711-81916.919.2-2.3115.216.0-0.82
Ryan Anderson68690.53-0.030.560.414-1517.517.20.2815.614.80.85
Al-Farouq Aminu71720.460.040.430.354-1517.118.4-1.3415.415.20.22
Austin Rivers31330.370.130.240.148-51317.917.20.6216.614.71.88
Lance Thomas25250.170.33-0.150.20-14-518.417.11.3415.815.20.59
Eric Gordon65650.130.37-0.240.28-58-1317.217.9-0.6214.716.6-1.88
Anthony Davis2424-0.130.63-0.760.02-58-1316.717.7-0.9313.815.9-2.02
Brian Roberts1413-0.150.65-0.800.05-710-1718.417.31.1516.515.21.36
Roger Mason Jr.89-0.160.66-0.82-0.13-14-520.617.23.4713.415.6-2.11
Robin Lopez5353-0.340.84-1.19-0.23-47-1117.217.8-0.6214.816.0-1.23

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darren Collison62620.33-0.831.170.195-81314.816.3-1.4617.617.20.33
Chris Kaman37370.03-0.530.560.06-1-2115.515.30.1616.917.8-0.82
Shawn Marion6464-0.12-0.380.25-0.151-4514.217.4-3.1918.715.03.63
Elton Brand5149-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-4515.315.4-0.0518.016.91.09
Dahntay Jones2523-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-30-316.814.81.9916.717.7-0.93
Jae Crowder2221-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.22-2-1-115.815.20.5419.716.82.90
Vince Carter6764-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-41-514.916.3-1.3617.018.2-1.20
O.J. Mayo6364-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.22-2-1-115.415.30.0717.217.8-0.59
Rodrigue Beaubois2725-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.19-52-716.115.11.0417.517.40.04
Dirk Nowitzki6463-0.630.13-0.76-0.57-2-1-115.914.41.5416.219.8-3.57


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 124, IND 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.66,0.85,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.27,087.9%
SAC 111, GSW 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.57,0.42,087.7%
LAL 112, SAC 1060.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,087.0%