NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	99		Excitement	10.4 [54]		MVP	Vince Carter (DAL): +32.4%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	5.5 [88]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): -23.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,0.07,0.27	-0.04	0.31	-0.00	13	45%	0.41	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.04
Greivis Vasquez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.01	18	66%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.18
Jason Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	60%	0.24	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	15	53%	0.15	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.32	0.32	0.10	0.23	0.00	11	71%	0.35	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.10	-0.00	12	33%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	16	53%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.14
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.07	0.02	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0,-0.08,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-0.00	17	38%	-0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	25.6	16.7	23.4	2.5	29.6	2.0	12.6	139.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +37.7%

NOH +7.4%

NOH +16.1%

DAL -20.6%

NOH +9.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	DAL	NBA	NOH	DAL	NBA
this game	17.4	15.4	15.4	103.1	98.0	104.1
season	16.3	14.5		103.9	104.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	15.0	19.6	18.6	17.5	16.6	17.4
DAL	15.7	15.6	15.0	14.6	16.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	47	50	0.93	-0.42	1.35	0.60	11	-8	19	18.0	16.9	1.08	16.3	14.3	2.01
Greivis Vasquez	74	77	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-8	19	16.9	19.2	-2.31	15.2	16.0	-0.82
Ryan Anderson	68	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.41	4	-1	5	17.5	17.2	0.28	15.6	14.8	0.85
Al-Farouq Aminu	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	-1	5	17.1	18.4	-1.34	15.4	15.2	0.22
Austin Rivers	31	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.14	8	-5	13	17.9	17.2	0.62	16.6	14.7	1.88
Lance Thomas	25	25	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	4	-5	18.4	17.1	1.34	15.8	15.2	0.59
Eric Gordon	65	65	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	8	-13	17.2	17.9	-0.62	14.7	16.6	-1.88
Anthony Davis	24	24	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	8	-13	16.7	17.7	-0.93	13.8	15.9	-2.02
Brian Roberts	14	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	10	-17	18.4	17.3	1.15	16.5	15.2	1.36
Roger Mason Jr.	8	9	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.13	-1	4	-5	20.6	17.2	3.47	13.4	15.6	-2.11
Robin Lopez	53	53	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.23	-4	7	-11	17.2	17.8	-0.62	14.8	16.0	-1.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	62	62	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.19	5	-8	13	14.8	16.3	-1.46	17.6	17.2	0.33
Chris Kaman	37	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.06	-1	-2	1	15.5	15.3	0.16	16.9	17.8	-0.82
Shawn Marion	64	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-4	5	14.2	17.4	-3.19	18.7	15.0	3.63
Elton Brand	51	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-4	5	15.3	15.4	-0.05	18.0	16.9	1.09
Dahntay Jones	25	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	0	-3	16.8	14.8	1.99	16.7	17.7	-0.93
Jae Crowder	22	21	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	15.8	15.2	0.54	19.7	16.8	2.90
Vince Carter	67	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	1	-5	14.9	16.3	-1.36	17.0	18.2	-1.20
O.J. Mayo	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-1	-1	15.4	15.3	0.07	17.2	17.8	-0.59
Rodrigue Beaubois	27	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	2	-7	16.1	15.1	1.04	17.5	17.4	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	64	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.57	-2	-1	-1	15.9	14.4	1.54	16.2	19.8	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 124, IND 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.59,0.73,0.61,0.46,0.66,0.85,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.27,0	87.9%
SAC 111, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.57,0.42,0	87.7%
LAL 112, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	87.0%