NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	12.8 [9]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +33.5%
Sacramento Kings	106		Comeback	3.1 [253]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -33.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.05	0.17	-0.02	17	44%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	26	48%	-0.04	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	11	50%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.22	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.32,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.22	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	25	54%	-0.07	3	-0.15	15	73%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.09,0.02,0.32,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.33	0.33	-0.02	0.36	-0.00	25	50%	0.41	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.12
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	5	73%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.07	0.00	7	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	10	50%	-0.10
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.17	0.01	7	56%	-0.04	3	-0.20	4	25%	-0.05
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	11	17%	-0.27	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.09	-0.23	0.00	12	31%	-0.29	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.21,-0.21,-0.31,-0.33	-0.33	-0.07	-0.22	0.04	21	43%	-0.27	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	340.8	3.4	34.3	19.4	28.7	3.4	42.6	2.4	18.3	493.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +3.8%

LAL +40.5%

SAC -2.1%

LAL +9.5%

SAC -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.3	15.6	104.7	99.1	102.3
season	15.3	14.2		106.9	106.6
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.6	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.9	15.7	15.9	19.0	14.9	16.4
SAC	11.8	12.6	14.7	13.7	15.1	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	99	100	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.49	10	-4	14	16.8	11.4	5.43	13.8	6.4	7.37
Rick Fox	99	99	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	16.2	18.9	-2.67	13.0	17.2	-4.25
Kobe Bryant	106	105	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-2	10	16.4	16.0	0.41	13.4	11.0	2.36
Derek Fisher	72	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-2	10	16.4	16.5	-0.08	13.6	12.8	0.77
Robert Horry	98	97	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	-2	10	16.7	12.7	4.08	13.3	13.7	-0.42
Lindsey Hunter	20	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	3	0	16.3	16.4	-0.06	15.0	12.9	2.07
Slava Medvedenko	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	8	-10	12.7	16.7	-4.08	13.7	13.3	0.42
Mark Madsen	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	5.0	16.5	-11.51	8.0	13.4	-5.37
Samaki Walker	4	3	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	10	-14	19.2	16.3	2.96	10.0	13.4	-3.41
Brian Shaw	17	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	15.6	16.5	-0.90	9.7	14.1	-4.42
Devean George	10	10	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.15	-4	10	-14	15.9	16.5	-0.55	14.4	13.2	1.19

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	53	52	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-13	20	12.7	13.9	-1.19	17.9	14.9	3.00
Peja Stojakovic	49	48	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-15	24	13.9	12.8	1.11	17.0	15.9	1.01
Doug Christie	83	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-3	0	12.7	15.6	-2.92	16.0	17.7	-1.76
Scot Pollard	40	41	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	2	-10	14.4	12.7	1.77	15.8	16.8	-0.97
Bobby Jackson	45	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-4	2	14.3	12.6	1.68	16.5	16.3	0.25
Hedo Turkoglu	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	8	-22	13.0	13.7	-0.73	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Chris Webber	105	105	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	0	-6	13.0	27.5	-14.45	16.4	19.0	-2.65
Mike Bibby	97	98	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.29	-13	7	-20	13.5	11.7	1.78	16.4	16.7	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,0	92.2%
DEN 115, LAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.85,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.57,0.31,0	90.0%
ATL 97, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.45,0.43,0	89.9%