NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	77		Excitement	10.6 [37]		MVP	Anthony Carter (MIA): +34.8%
New York Knicks	76		Comeback	5.2 [172]		LVP	Dan Majerle (MIA): -25.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,0.35	-0.03	0.37	-0.01	10	45%	0.41	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Alonzo Mourning	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.08	0.02	15	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.07
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	11	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Otis Thorpe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	17	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.02	16	50%	0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.00	5	8%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Dan Majerle	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	0.00	6	17%	-0.21	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	18	59%	0.13	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	-0.01	6	75%	0.13	2	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	14	59%	0.09	3	-0.20	11	100%	0.08
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	5	36%	-0.07	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.24,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	10	41%	0.11	4	-0.29	2	50%	-0.10
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.00	7	25%	-0.13	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	3.5	35.7	20.0	26.2	3.3	39.3	2.4	23.4	180.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -27.4%

NYK -3.1%

MIA +25.5%

MIA +49.4%

MIA +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	18.9	17.3	15.2	86.5	87.4	101.7
season	15.7	16.1		101.2	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.9		98.8	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	14.4	20.6	22.0	20.3	17.3	18.9
NYK	16.2	15.2	19.2	18.6	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Carter	59	54	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.47	11	-10	21	18.8	18.9	-0.02	18.0	16.0	2.04
Dan Majerle	67	70	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	1	-1	18.6	19.7	-1.16	16.9	18.6	-1.65
Alonzo Mourning	60	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	6	-11	18.9	18.7	0.19	16.8	18.5	-1.71
Jamal Mashburn	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.31	0	1	-1	18.2	21.1	-2.90	16.8	19.4	-2.66
P.J. Brown	68	67	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.33	-1	2	-3	19.5	16.9	2.61	17.9	15.1	2.75
Bruce Bowen	25	19	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	2	-3	19.3	18.7	0.59	17.0	17.3	-0.34
Otis Thorpe	32	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	-5	11	19.2	18.7	0.47	18.6	16.6	1.98
Clar. Weatherspoon	35	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-4	9	18.8	18.9	-0.09	17.7	17.0	0.64
Tim Hardaway	30	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.01	-10	11	-21	18.9	18.8	0.02	16.0	18.0	-2.04

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	18	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	19.8	16.6	3.24	20.2	18.4	1.81
Larry Johnson	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-1	1	17.7	16.4	1.31	19.0	18.6	0.36
Latrell Sprewell	81	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	0	-1	17.0	21.3	-4.37	18.6	21.2	-2.63
Chris Childs	28	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-2	3	17.1	17.3	-0.18	19.6	18.4	1.20
Charlie Ward	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	1	-3	17.3	17.1	0.18	18.1	20.2	-2.11
Marcus Camby	49	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	2	-5	17.9	16.5	1.36	19.5	18.0	1.48
Patrick Ewing	69	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-2	3	16.6	19.8	-3.24	18.4	20.2	-1.81
Allan Houston	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-2	3	16.9	19.8	-2.98	18.8	19.0	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	92.2%
LAC 105, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0	89.7%
SAS 85, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,0	89.4%