NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	12.0 [13]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +37.7%
Houston Rockets	103		Comeback	4.2 [220]		LVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): -44.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.35	0.03	0.28	-0.04	22	52%	0.52	2	-0.17	10	80%	0.05
Mo Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	11	56%	0.23	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	12	50%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	7	107%	0.24	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.32,-0.32	-0.10	-0.22	-0.01	14	40%	0.00	4	-0.32	7	57%	-0.04

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.02	0.36	0.00	11	59%	0.46	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.08
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	0.00	6	108%	0.36	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	6	85%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.13
Greg Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	0.00	-0.26	0.01	11	54%	-0.02	3	-0.24	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.01,-0.44	-0.44	-0.01	-0.43	0.00	22	46%	-0.20	2	-0.25	10	100%	0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	26.2	15.7	36.0	2.7	38.7	1.8	14.8	163.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +73.2%

HOU -16.5%

LAC +7.5%

HOU -11.6%

HOU -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	HOU	NBA	LAC	HOU	NBA
this game	17.6	15.0	15.6	107.1	106.2	102.8
season	16.2	15.4		106.0	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.2	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.8	19.6	17.2	16.6	18.6	17.6
HOU	14.4	16.4	13.5	16.1	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	49	49	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-10	22	17.1	18.0	-0.92	15.2	14.8	0.45
Caron Butler	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.53	-2	4	-6	17.3	18.6	-1.32	15.1	14.9	0.15
Chris Paul	78	78	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	18.0	16.0	1.99	14.2	18.3	-4.10
Reggie Evans	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	-4	10	16.7	17.9	-1.16	17.2	14.3	2.85
Blake Griffin	72	71	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.44	-8	10	-18	17.8	17.0	0.74	14.3	17.1	-2.81
Bobby Simmons	15	14	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-4	10	17.5	17.6	-0.14	16.6	14.7	1.90
Randy Foye	44	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	-1	4	17.4	17.7	-0.27	15.6	14.5	1.12
Eric Bledsoe	13	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	0	2	16.9	17.7	-0.76	16.7	14.8	1.97
Mo Williams	58	57	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	3	-4	17.6	17.6	-0.07	14.9	15.2	-0.35
DeAndre Jordan	51	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	8	-14	18.2	17.0	1.20	14.8	15.2	-0.37

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chandler Parsons	40	42	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.00	5	-7	12	13.6	16.0	-2.33	16.8	18.2	-1.43
Goran Dragic	21	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	17.8	14.3	3.50	16.2	18.0	-1.75
Greg Smith	16	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	0	-2	16.1	14.8	1.25	17.2	17.6	-0.43
Samuel Dalembert	63	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-9	16	15.1	14.9	0.26	18.5	15.5	2.95
Patrick Patterson	39	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	15.0	15.1	-0.08	17.4	17.7	-0.22
Terrence Williams	25	24	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	8	-18	17.2	14.3	2.94	17.4	17.6	-0.27
Kevin Martin	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.49	3	-5	8	14.4	17.6	-3.25	17.7	16.9	0.79
Luis Scola	76	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	0	-2	14.7	16.0	-1.25	16.9	20.1	-3.23
Kyle Lowry	76	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-1	0	14.3	17.8	-3.50	18.0	16.2	1.75
Courtney Lee	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	0	-2	16.0	13.9	2.07	18.1	17.0	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	91.2%
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	90.8%
MIA 77, NYK 76	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,0	89.7%