NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	98		Excitement	12.3 [9]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (NJN): +14.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	19.2 [83]		LVP	Jordan Farmar (NJN): -32.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	14	62%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	13	53%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.05
Brandan Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	5	31%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	14	53%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Sundiata Gaines	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	11	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	21	37%	-0.07	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.13
Jordan Farmar	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.32	-0.13	-0.20	0.00	10	37%	-0.02	4	-0.30	7	86%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.08	-0.03	0.12	0.01	10	36%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Harangody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
Alonzo Gee	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.00	10	33%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Christian Eyenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	0.00	8	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.11	-0.03	15	45%	0.01	2	-0.14	8	87%	0.04
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.01	15	52%	0.08	5	-0.25	10	70%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.03	-0.27	0.00	5	50%	-0.11	2	-0.19	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.9	2.7	30.2	14.8	28.2	1.8	32.2	1.7	24.6	164.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -3.9%

NJN +14.8%

NJN +11.0%

NJN +28.7%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.4	14.1	15.5	94.2	90.4	105.7
season	16.4	15.1		101.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.3		110.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	15.9	16.5	17.0	18.9	12.1	16.4
CLE	14.7	12.3	15.0	15.4	12.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Outlaw	71	70	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.58	5	-1	6	16.8	15.7	1.12	14.4	13.6	0.78
Sasha Vujacic	85	86	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	16.2	17.3	-1.02	13.7	16.2	-2.51
Brook Lopez	62	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-12	28	16.6	16.2	0.37	14.4	13.7	0.77
Kris Humphries	75	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	16.3	16.9	-0.64	14.3	13.7	0.65
Anthony Morrow	67	67	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-4	12	16.5	16.3	0.17	14.3	13.9	0.35
Jordan Farmar	81	82	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	6	-8	15.8	18.6	-2.74	13.9	15.0	-1.03
Johan Petro	30	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	7	-10	17.9	15.8	2.11	15.0	13.8	1.12
Brandan Wright	29	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	9	-14	16.9	16.3	0.64	13.7	14.3	-0.65
Sundiata Gaines	10	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	9	-14	16.9	16.4	0.52	15.2	14.0	1.18
Dan Gadzuric	10	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	11	-18	14.1	16.7	-2.58	11.4	14.4	-3.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	53	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-3	2	14.7	13.6	1.05	16.7	16.2	0.44
Manny Harris	35	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-5	6	13.3	14.6	-1.34	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Samardo Samuels	41	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-4	4	15.3	13.4	1.90	16.3	16.5	-0.22
JJ Hickson	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-1	-2	14.4	13.5	0.92	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Luke Harangody	33	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.23	-1	-3	2	13.5	14.4	-0.92	17.0	16.2	0.80
Anthony Parker	64	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-2	0	13.1	15.8	-2.69	16.2	16.8	-0.56
Christian Eyenga	28	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	0	-4	13.1	14.5	-1.37	16.8	16.3	0.52
Ryan Hollins	62	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-2	0	13.6	15.0	-1.44	16.8	15.9	0.87
Daniel Gibson	63	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.2	12.5	2.69	16.3	16.6	-0.35
Ramon Sessions	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.28	-7	3	-10	14.4	13.6	0.87	16.2	16.8	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,0	91.2%
MIN 92, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.42,0	90.6%
UTA 105, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.32,0.29,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.09,0.08,0	90.1%