NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	11.4 [24]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +38.8%
Houston Rockets	100		Comeback	24.6 [32]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -20.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.34,0.34,0.39	0.05	0.34	0.00	13	61%	0.41	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.18
John Stockton	0.36	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36	0.06	0.30	0.01	20	62%	0.44	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Bryon Russell	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.21	-0.01	0.19	-0.03	15	47%	0.23	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Antoine Carr	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Ruben Nembhard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Foster	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.05
Karl Malone	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.01	-0.19	0.01	21	53%	-0.10	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.09

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.02	0.23	-0.01	16	62%	0.39	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Sam Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	58%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.10
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	43%	0.08	2	-0.11	3	33%	-0.04
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	29	57%	0.21	7	-0.28	14	86%	0.05
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.05	-0.15	-0.00	9	45%	-0.10	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	22.4	16.4	24.5	2.3	41.0	1.5	16.5	151.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +11.1%

UTA +10.6%

HOU -5.1%

UTA +33.4%

UTA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	16.0	15.6	106.1	101.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.5		110.8	107.2
opponent	15.4	16.0		103.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	17.3	14.7	18.9	13.5	17.7	16.1
HOU	14.6	18.0	18.0	14.2	15.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	88	88	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.45	7	-2	9	15.5	20.9	-5.42	16.0	16.2	-0.17
John Stockton	83	82	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	16.0	16.3	-0.26	16.0	16.2	-0.18
Antoine Carr	56	56	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-3	11	15.4	17.0	-1.52	15.3	17.0	-1.63
Karl Malone	84	83	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.42	2	3	-1	16.0	16.6	-0.60	16.2	15.0	1.23
Jeff Hornacek	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	5	-5	15.5	18.7	-3.16	16.1	15.6	0.58
Adam Keefe	25	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	0	5	16.6	15.9	0.73	15.7	16.1	-0.47
Greg Ostertag	26	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	2	1	15.7	16.2	-0.59	17.8	15.4	2.42
Ruben Nembhard	8	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.05	2	3	-1	22.7	15.5	7.24	16.7	16.0	0.70
Stephen Howard	9	10	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	8	-11	17.8	15.9	1.86	13.1	16.4	-3.26
Greg Foster	18	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	9	-13	20.1	15.2	4.85	16.2	16.0	0.22
Howard Eisley	16	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	12	-19	16.3	16.0	0.26	16.2	16.0	0.18

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	10	9	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	15.3	16.1	-0.81	14.6	16.2	-1.69
Randy Livingston	34	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.9	0.31	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Sam Mack	29	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	3	-11	17.0	15.6	1.32	16.4	16.0	0.49
Kevin Willis	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.8	15.7	1.10	16.8	15.8	1.02
Mario Elie	72	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-9	13	15.7	16.8	-1.08	15.7	17.2	-1.48
Charles Barkley	80	81	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	16.2	15.5	0.69	16.6	13.7	2.90
Matt Maloney	65	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-6	7	15.9	16.2	-0.31	16.4	15.5	0.91
Hakeem Olajuwon	89	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-2	-1	15.6	20.0	-4.42	15.5	22.2	-6.74
Clyde Drexler	86	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	-1	-3	16.1	15.5	0.65	16.4	14.1	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.32,0.29,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	90.1%
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	89.3%
NOH 121, UTA 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.23,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.11,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.23,0.18,0	89.2%