inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 121 Excitement10.8 [31] MVPPaul Millsap (UTA): +58.1%
Utah Jazz 117 Comeback11.7 [125] LVPRaja Bell (UTA): -29.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Emeka Okafor0.360,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.360.050.310.00867%0.401-0.042100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.280,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.28,0.28,0.280.080.20-0.01967%0.301-0.02333%-0.03
Jarrett Jack0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.20.070.11-0.021156%0.2000.00580%0.02
David West0.170,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.030.14-0.002552%0.222-0.05683%-0.02
Chris Paul0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.14,0.170.110.090.031562%0.201-0.03989%0.04
Aaron Gray0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.160.070.09-0.00567%0.1600.00580%0.01
Marco Belinelli0.090,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.12-0.020.00882%0.0900.001100%0.01
Jason Smith0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Willie Green-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Carl Landry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.000.00330%0.012-0.08475%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.580.580.200.390.022069%0.611-0.03887%0.05
Al Jefferson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.17,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.060.280.011765%0.393-0.0700%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.260.260.100.16-0.00970%0.2600.00250%-0.03
CJ Miles0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.05-0.010.04-0.011244%0.0500.001100%0.01
Ronnie Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.02-0.013100%0.112-0.072100%0.01
Jeremy Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00050%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.070.01959%-0.011-0.024100%0.02
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.09-0.050.01520%-0.092-0.0600%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.3-0.30-0.02-0.28-0.011146%-0.262-0.04683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.11.727.215.324.41.738.41.020.2157.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +75.8%
UTA -28.2%
UTA -11.2%
NOH +12.2%
NOH +1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHUTANBANOHUTANBA
this game15.717.615.5127.4121.9105.7
season16.215.9104.6106.4
opponent15.315.9108.2104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOH15.817.115.617.610.115.7
UTA17.018.017.918.416.317.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Emeka Okafor53520.82-0.321.130.4712-82015.515.9-0.3118.716.32.33
Chris Paul82810.75-0.251.010.4610-61615.020.3-5.3617.418.7-1.34
Aaron Gray35340.64-0.140.790.447-31016.015.50.5017.617.6-0.02
Trevor Ariza86860.440.060.390.305-1615.418.2-2.8017.815.72.13
Jarrett Jack54550.430.070.360.4013-216.115.11.0717.218.2-1.03
Carl Landry25270.040.46-0.410.0404-416.015.60.4816.718.0-1.30
Willie Green1819-0.030.53-0.560.12-59-1414.715.9-1.2614.718.3-3.57
Marco Belinelli5052-0.070.57-0.64-0.1013-215.715.60.0817.817.30.49
Jason Smith88-0.110.61-0.720.07-610-1619.515.34.1714.417.9-3.52
David West6466-0.420.92-1.35-0.28-59-1416.214.71.4918.515.62.96

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Miles4142-0.04-0.460.43-0.123-71016.918.1-1.2714.916.3-1.48
Jeremy Evans2219-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-4414.518.5-3.9718.814.93.95
Ronnie Price2928-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-1-3216.318.2-1.8515.815.60.19
Earl Watson7676-0.21-0.290.07-0.303-71017.318.7-1.4515.117.9-2.76
Derrick Favors3129-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-6816.818.0-1.1817.714.82.89
Paul Millsap7071-0.22-0.280.05-0.14-3-1-218.814.54.3115.516.3-0.87
Raja Bell8079-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.26-73-1018.314.24.1015.417.0-1.58
Al Jefferson6466-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.27-73-1018.815.23.5315.316.7-1.40
Gordon Hayward6765-0.660.16-0.82-0.37-106-1617.218.6-1.4616.015.00.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.23,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.19,0.11,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.23,0.18,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 105, HOU 1000.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.32,0.29,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.69,0.37,0.09,0.08,089.2%
SAS 85, ORL 830.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,088.6%
DEN 124, ORL 1180.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.21,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.22,0.02,088.3%