inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 85 Excitement11.0 [28] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +39.4%
Orlando Magic 83 Comeback2.3 [230] LVPJameer Nelson (ORL): -49.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Neal0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.19-0.040.22-0.00625%0.1900.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0.150,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.15-0.010.16-0.001350%0.212-0.07862%-0.02
Tiago Splitter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.00771%0.081-0.0500%0.00
Matt Bonner0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.00540%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.011044%-0.0200.00540%-0.07
Cory Joseph-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00337%-0.001-0.04250%-0.01
Kawhi Leonard-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.020.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tony Parker-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.07,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.022353%0.155-0.201100%0.01
Danny Green-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.07-0.06-0.00614%-0.1300.002100%0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.390.390.060.32-0.011560%0.462-0.071060%-0.08
JJ Redick0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.140.14-0.010.170.011146%0.171-0.03683%0.11
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.090.090.060.03-0.011165%0.162-0.0710%-0.13
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.02-0.00825%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.0030%-0.061-0.0500%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.07-0.04-0.00425%-0.062-0.0500%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,-0.14-0.140.02-0.17-0.001347%-0.1400.0010100%0.07
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.49-0.49-0.20-0.30-0.011612%-0.441-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.42.326.617.427.52.335.63.017.0158.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +81.8%
ORL -38.4%
ORL -42.1%
SAS +22.5%
SAS +26.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASORLNBASASORLNBA
this game16.116.315.687.683.8102.8
season15.316.2109.1102.8
opponent15.815.2103.0101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SAS15.417.415.515.717.416.1
ORL17.416.115.816.315.916.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Green69720.53-0.030.560.4720216.614.91.6515.319.2-3.91
Richard Jefferson70720.51-0.010.520.336-41015.717.2-1.5516.416.10.32
Tim Duncan65660.500.000.490.4711016.515.41.0916.615.80.83
Tony Parker80830.410.090.320.3811016.215.80.4116.216.9-0.63
Gary Neal38410.350.150.210.273-1416.715.71.0017.215.71.54
Matt Bonner38380.290.210.070.116-41015.416.5-1.1215.516.9-1.33
Cory Joseph17160.080.42-0.350.0511015.816.2-0.4116.916.20.63
Kawhi Leonard44420.010.49-0.480.13-46-1016.415.90.4816.816.00.77
Tiago Splitter3434-0.010.51-0.510.05-24-614.616.9-2.3816.116.5-0.34
DeJuan Blair3031-0.170.67-0.84-0.05-46-1016.715.80.8617.515.81.66

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Quentin Richardson39390.01-0.510.520.010-2217.115.81.2916.415.90.47
Earl Clark1515-0.18-0.320.130.02-75-1218.316.02.3516.316.10.27
Glen Davis3232-0.19-0.310.11-0.05-53-816.016.5-0.5515.616.3-0.71
JJ Redick5958-0.20-0.300.11-0.283-5816.016.8-0.8116.515.51.03
Dwight Howard7775-0.20-0.300.10-0.438-101815.917.9-2.0116.315.50.78
Jameer Nelson7167-0.20-0.300.10-0.293-5816.316.6-0.3216.615.11.50
Chris Duhon2830-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.14-53-816.616.30.3215.116.6-1.50
Von Wafer4241-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.340-2216.616.10.5215.016.9-1.83
Ryan Anderson7472-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.420-2216.615.70.8916.116.2-0.08
Larry Hughes5856-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.29-75-1215.916.9-1.0016.215.90.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.1,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.42,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 98, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,089.9%
LAC 105, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.61,0.46,0.55,0.58,089.6%
MIA 77, NYK 760.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.58,089.4%