NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	115		Excitement	12.6 [7]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DEN): +17.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	114		Comeback	27.0 [49]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -74.2%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.12,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.01	32	60%	0.26	3	-0.09	9	78%	-0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,0.06	-0.02	0.09	0.01	21	61%	0.38	6	-0.31	7	86%	0.07
James Posey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Herren	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Roy Rogers	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.07	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	60%	0.20	6	-0.27	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.01	20	61%	0.27	2	-0.14	11	82%	0.07
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	75%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	19	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.09
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Keith Closs	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Etdrick Bohannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	10	40%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.47,-0.74	-0.74	-0.16	-0.57	0.01	15	38%	-0.45	5	-0.29	4	75%	-0.26

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	21.6	2.5	37.5	2.4	25.4	161.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +91.9%

LAC -29.6%

DEN +17.0%

LAC -14.2%

LAC -15.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.9	15.2	102.7	100.9	101.7
season	14.8	15.6		101.5	95.5
opponent	14.3	15.0		107.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	12.6	12.8	14.5	14.6	11.7	13.4
LAC	15.1	16.0	16.2	13.1	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George McCloud	98	99	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-7	15	13.2	14.9	-1.67	14.8	15.4	-0.56
Keon Clark	43	41	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.63	-1	2	-3	12.5	13.9	-1.39	15.0	14.8	0.21
Nick Van Exel	103	105	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.42	5	-4	9	13.6	10.6	3.09	14.7	16.6	-1.89
Antonio McDyess	90	93	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.48	1	0	1	14.0	10.8	3.26	14.8	15.1	-0.28
James Posey	85	89	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	-2	5	13.9	11.9	1.93	14.8	15.1	-0.33
Ryan Bowen	21	19	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.18	1	0	1	10.7	14.0	-3.36	15.4	14.8	0.67
Roy Rogers	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	9.7	13.7	-3.92	15.6	14.8	0.75
Popeye Jones	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	1	-1	9.7	13.7	-3.92	15.6	14.8	0.75
Chris Gatling	11	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	7	-13	13.2	13.4	-0.23	17.0	14.7	2.32
Raef LaFrentz	78	79	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.15	1	0	1	14.2	11.6	2.55	14.5	15.6	-1.07
Chris Herren	15	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	8	-15	12.9	13.5	-0.61	15.6	14.8	0.85

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Etdrick Bohannon	16	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	1	-3	15.7	14.7	1.03	11.3	13.8	-2.47
Jeff McInnis	72	71	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-9	17	14.3	15.9	-1.66	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Michael Olowokandi	72	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	0	-1	16.1	12.7	3.39	14.2	11.9	2.27
Derek Anderson	69	67	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-5	9	14.4	15.5	-1.11	13.4	13.4	-0.05
Keith Closs	97	94	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	0	-1	14.7	15.7	-0.96	13.1	14.9	-1.85
Eric Piatkowski	49	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	4	-9	15.3	14.6	0.70	13.6	13.2	0.37
Lamar Odom	87	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.43	-2	1	-3	14.3	16.6	-2.27	13.9	11.9	1.98
Tyrone Nesby	103	102	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.45	-6	5	-11	15.0	13.9	1.06	13.2	15.1	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.57,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.85,0.54,0.39,0.71,0.57,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	90.0%
DEN 112, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.36,0.32,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.41,0.1,0	89.9%
ORL 112, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	88.7%