NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	112		Excitement	12.5 [14]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +57.6%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	9.3 [150]		LVP	Chris Duhon (CHI): -31.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.39,0.23,0.44	0.07	0.36	0.00	15	59%	0.62	2	-0.18	7	71%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23	0.13	0.09	0.00	7	87%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	13	68%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Arroyo	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	7	100%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	11	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	14	64%	-0.14
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.1,-0.25,-0.46,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.5,-0.13	-0.14	0.00	-0.00	19	44%	0.38	7	-0.52	1	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.58	0.58	0.22	0.36	0.00	27	67%	0.81	3	-0.23	4	100%	0.08
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.00	14	61%	0.14	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	15	46%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	18	49%	0.15	2	-0.20	7	100%	0.08
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	6	15%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.06
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.20	0.00	6	7%	-0.27	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	30.9	15.6	23.4	1.7	36.2	2.5	20.0	158.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +83.7%

CHI -10.7%

CHI -18.2%

CHI -10.4%

ORL +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.8	17.2	15.4	115.5	114.6	105.7
season	15.1	15.0		109.9	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.4	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	17.0	15.8	15.2	15.9	14.4	15.8
CHI	16.5	16.2	20.1	18.4	12.9	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	61	61	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	-1	4	15.2	16.8	-1.58	15.7	19.7	-4.04
Dwight Howard	88	88	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	-1	4	15.7	16.6	-0.85	17.4	15.1	2.24
Rashard Lewis	89	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	16.0	13.9	2.08	17.7	10.7	6.97
Hedo Turkoglu	77	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.8	-0.02	16.9	18.3	-1.42
Keith Bogans	74	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	15.8	15.8	0.00	16.7	18.7	-2.04
Maurice Evans	27	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	-1	4	15.8	15.8	0.04	16.4	17.5	-1.11
Keyon Dooling	23	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	-1	4	15.8	15.8	-0.00	18.7	16.7	2.04
Adonal Foyle	10	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	3	-4	14.9	15.9	-0.99	15.1	17.4	-2.24
Carlos Arroyo	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	3	-4	16.8	15.2	1.58	19.7	15.7	4.04

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	50	52	0.74	-1.24	1.98	0.50	8	-10	18	18.4	15.9	2.47	17.2	14.1	3.16
Joe Smith	38	39	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.11	15	-17	32	18.7	16.2	2.49	16.9	15.1	1.82
Joakim Noah	8	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	1	-4	17.0	17.2	-0.19	12.0	16.1	-4.08
Aaron Gray	7	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	0	-2	10.7	17.7	-6.97	18.4	15.6	2.82
Tyrus Thomas	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	2	-6	16.2	17.3	-1.12	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Thabo Sefolosha	7	7	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	2	-6	20.4	16.9	3.51	12.9	16.0	-3.15
Ben Wallace	81	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-5	8	17.8	14.1	3.69	15.9	15.4	0.45
Ben Gordon	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	16.3	20.6	-4.31	15.5	16.8	-1.28
Luol Deng	84	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	2	-6	17.3	16.3	0.96	15.7	16.5	-0.78
Andres Nocioni	59	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.39	-11	9	-20	16.2	18.7	-2.48	15.3	16.6	-1.35
Chris Duhon	58	58	-1.01	0.51	-1.52	-0.89	-4	2	-6	16.9	17.6	-0.71	15.2	16.7	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.55,0.63,0.32,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.27,0	90.8%
OKC 118, MIN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	88.9%
SAC 125, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.47,0.31,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	88.8%