inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 118 Excitement14.1 [6] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +89.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves 117 Comeback6.7 [218] LVPMichael Beasley (MIN): -34.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.900,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.90.260.660.022867%0.942-0.041493%0.10
Jeff Green0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.020.18-0.031653%0.252-0.034100%0.03
James Harden0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.080.06-0.00865%0.1400.004100%0.02
Nick Collison0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.050.00150%0.0500.002100%0.03
Eric Maynor-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.050.02-0.07-0.002100%0.082-0.131100%0.01
Nenad Krstic-0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.030.01944%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Serge Ibaka-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.060.00633%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.340,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24,-0.32,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.34,-0.34-0.20-0.15-0.011940%-0.038-0.312100%0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.310.310.160.160.012363%0.331-0.02367%-0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.160.160.000.170.011050%0.181-0.02250%-0.13
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.010.00364%0.0400.005100%0.02
Martell Webster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jonny Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00533%-0.031-0.022100%0.01
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.02-0.090.001059%0.092-0.15250%-0.02
Darko Milicic0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.02837%0.074-0.18333%-0.06
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.22,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.32-0.32-0.10-0.23-0.001337%-0.233-0.09667%-0.04
Michael Beasley0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.38,-0.35-0.350.00-0.340.012558%0.056-0.402100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.31.829.715.027.61.834.52.416.6154.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +54.0%
OKC +31.2%
MIN -84.4%
OKC +44.5%
OKC +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMINNBAOKCMINNBA
this game14.914.015.5106.3107.3105.7
season15.014.3108.8102.7
opponent15.115.6109.5105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC14.715.913.616.712.614.9
MIN13.013.514.114.716.114.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison41390.67-0.170.840.583-2516.414.02.4413.914.0-0.12
Thabo Sefolosha58560.500.000.500.384-3713.017.0-4.0213.914.2-0.29
Russell Westbrook84820.420.080.330.4201-113.718.6-4.8314.013.90.10
Jeff Green91900.400.100.310.323-2514.516.7-2.1914.113.50.57
Kevin Durant1051030.400.100.300.49-34-714.619.8-5.2114.111.82.29
Eric Maynor27270.080.42-0.330.0510118.613.74.8313.914.0-0.10
Serge Ibaka35340.030.47-0.440.09-23-516.714.12.6514.114.00.13
Nenad Krstic61610.000.50-0.50-0.062-1313.916.1-2.2213.614.5-0.82
James Harden53530.000.50-0.500.09-34-717.013.04.0214.213.90.29

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Martell Webster19190.06-0.560.63-0.054-5913.914.0-0.0614.615.0-0.32
Darko Milicic4042-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-1114.813.51.3014.515.1-0.57
Jonny Flynn3131-0.09-0.410.33-0.121-2313.114.4-1.2618.313.64.70
Corey Brewer6365-0.17-0.330.15-0.12-21-313.814.3-0.5313.217.4-4.22
Anthony Tolliver3534-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-1113.114.4-1.3017.213.93.32
Kevin Love8992-0.22-0.280.05-0.344-5914.212.91.2914.317.8-3.49
Nikola Pekovic3030-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.13-87-1513.714.1-0.4116.614.32.28
Luke Ridnour7880-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.36-21-314.413.11.2613.618.3-4.70
Michael Beasley9194-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.461-2313.914.3-0.4015.014.10.92
Wesley Johnson6968-0.670.17-0.84-0.58-32-514.113.80.2815.613.81.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 117, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.58,0.5,0.39,0.08,0.15,0.16,090.0%
ORL 112, CHI 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.42,088.9%
LAL 88, BOS 870.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.64,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.55,0.63,0.32,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.27,088.7%