NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	117		Excitement	11.3 [39]		MVP	Ty Lawson (DEN): +33.7%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	6.6 [195]		LVP	Arron Afflalo (DEN): -33.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33	0.14	0.22	0.02	13	70%	0.37	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	9	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	61%	0.13	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.26,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	78%	0.30	5	-0.30	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	16	56%	0.20	2	-0.23	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	-0.00	9	59%	-0.02	2	-0.06	14	71%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.23	0.03	20	65%	0.44	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.09
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.01	5	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.00	4	112%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	15	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.11	0.05	-0.13	0.02	19	53%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	10	37%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.43
Arron Afflalo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33	-0.33	-0.13	-0.21	-0.00	17	31%	-0.23	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.9	15.5	25.4	1.8	33.3	1.7	16.6	148.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +96.2%

DEN -11.0%

WAS +16.7%

DEN -56.4%

WAS +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DEN	NBA	WAS	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	15.1	108.3	109.5	104.2
season	15.1	14.6		102.9	103.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		106.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	13.8	15.8	14.6	17.1	15.5	15.3
DEN	15.0	13.5	16.8	14.3	11.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	67	62	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.61	0	2	-2	16.4	13.6	2.72	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Rasual Butler	58	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-6	14	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.0	15.1	-1.16
John Wall	89	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	-3	8	14.4	19.5	-5.04	14.5	14.5	0.06
Nene	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	-1	4	14.5	16.4	-1.86	14.8	14.2	0.61
Marcin Gortat	58	56	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	-9	20	14.0	16.9	-2.86	15.3	13.6	1.67
Martell Webster	28	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	-1	4	16.9	14.8	2.07	15.1	14.3	0.79
Paul Pierce	68	66	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.35	-7	9	-16	14.7	16.3	-1.63	14.7	14.2	0.47
Bradley Beal	57	58	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	0	2	14.9	15.8	-0.91	14.8	14.2	0.56
Andre Miller	20	19	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	3	-4	18.7	14.6	4.14	14.5	14.5	-0.06
Otto Porter	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	7	-12	11.0	15.6	-4.58	7.3	15.0	-7.63
Kevin Seraphin	27	27	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	11	-20	18.4	14.3	4.06	13.8	14.8	-1.00

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Foye	13	14	0.12	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-7	12	14.6	14.5	0.10	17.2	15.0	2.17
Wilson Chandler	78	81	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-15	28	14.3	15.3	-1.04	14.7	17.2	-2.48
Jusuf Nurkic	38	40	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	15.8	13.8	1.94	13.5	16.4	-2.86
JJ Hickson	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	5	-12	14.3	14.7	-0.39	17.6	14.2	3.41
Ty Lawson	84	88	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-4	6	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Darrell Arthur	57	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.58	10	-12	22	13.8	15.4	-1.61	16.6	13.9	2.65
Arron Afflalo	86	88	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-2	2	14.3	15.4	-1.03	15.4	15.1	0.21
Jameer Nelson	27	26	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	9	-20	14.7	14.5	0.19	16.2	15.1	1.09
Kenneth Faried	78	81	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	5	-12	14.6	14.4	0.21	14.3	18.4	-4.06
Danilo Gallinari	27	27	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.10	-15	13	-28	15.3	14.3	1.04	17.2	14.7	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.58,0.5,0.39,0.08,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 118, MIN 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,0	90.0%
CLE 104, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.14,0.09,0	89.4%
NOP 96, CHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.02,0	89.0%