inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 104 Excitement9.9 [82] MVPDamon Jones (CLE): +47.3%
Houston Rockets 102 Comeback9.5 [91] LVPRonald Murray (CLE): -18.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damon Jones0.470,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.470.230.260.0110100%0.4700.00250%-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.330,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33-0.020.35-0.001849%0.403-0.08771%0.01
LeBron James0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15-0.020.180.023446%0.212-0.061173%-0.02
Donyell Marshall0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.001250%0.0700.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.00383%0.0500.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Eric Snow-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.10-0.011030%-0.082-0.1000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.150.120.019100%0.332-0.0700%0.00
Luther Head0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.10.10-0.060.16-0.00937%0.202-0.101100%0.01
Stromile Swift0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.060.00667%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Rick Brunson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.002150%0.0900.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dikembe Mutombo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richie Frahm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.02-0.00-0.02250%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0-0.00-0.030.030.001046%0.052-0.056100%0.09
Rafer Alston0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05-0.050.03-0.030.041358%0.123-0.171275%0.06
Yao Ming0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.090.032152%0.145-0.291090%0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.32.428.316.524.32.536.21.522.2156.3
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +13.8%
HOU -16.0%
CLE +3.6%
CLE +45.9%
CLE +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEHOUNBACLEHOUNBA
this game17.715.115.6108.3104.1104.4
season16.216.1105.699.9
opponent16.115.5101.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE16.818.319.716.417.217.7
HOU14.514.415.515.616.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones60640.95-0.451.400.4218-163418.316.71.6114.915.5-0.55
Donyell Marshall60630.91-0.411.320.3519-173618.316.71.6115.115.2-0.09
LeBron James88910.52-0.020.550.414-2617.618.5-0.8715.214.40.74
Sasha Pavlovic29310.320.180.14-0.0011-92018.417.41.0313.915.7-1.72
Anderson Varejao25250.250.25-0.010.076-41017.917.60.2514.015.5-1.44
Ronald Murray68690.190.31-0.130.39-79-1617.418.5-1.1315.713.81.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas62630.150.35-0.200.42-911-2017.118.8-1.6515.514.41.06
Ira Newble10-0.020.52-0.540.04-24-62.017.9-15.860.015.1-15.11
Drew Gooden4342-0.340.84-1.18-0.02-1113-2418.017.50.5515.414.90.55
Eric Snow4442-0.430.93-1.360.13-1921-4017.018.3-1.2515.015.2-0.11

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Brunson16160.22-0.720.93-0.028-101815.415.00.3918.917.41.49
Yao Ming8079-0.07-0.430.36-0.5115-173215.513.22.3217.617.9-0.30
Luther Head7878-0.18-0.320.14-0.449-112015.513.42.0917.618.2-0.58
Stromile Swift4544-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-86-1414.615.6-1.0318.417.11.31
Richie Frahm2827-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-53-813.415.8-2.4117.717.7-0.04
Keith Bogans9188-0.520.02-0.54-0.40-42-615.214.40.7417.618.5-0.87
Juwan Howard7068-0.640.14-0.79-0.26-1311-2415.115.10.0617.518.1-0.58
Rafer Alston8280-0.720.22-0.93-0.42-108-1815.015.4-0.3917.418.9-1.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.14,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 117, DEN 1150.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.53,0.63,0.78,0.58,0.5,0.39,0.08,0.15,0.16,089.4%
NOP 96, CHI 900.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.57,0.56,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.36,0.78,0.42,0.54,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.02,088.6%
OKC 118, MIN 1170.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.7,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.15,088.6%