NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	125		Excitement	11.5 [16]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +47.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	121		Comeback	4.0 [120]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -29.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.47	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.47	0.19	0.28	-0.01	19	76%	0.51	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.09	0.01	18	58%	0.25	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.02	11	63%	0.16	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Bobby Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	19	47%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Vlade Divac	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.18	0.02	-0.18	0.02	14	59%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	11	50%	0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	90%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.09	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.28,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.04	-0.16	-0.01	18	56%	-0.10	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.15
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	-0.00	5	40%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.17	-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.01	26	48%	-0.08	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.12
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	0.05	-0.32	0.02	22	57%	-0.25	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	1.7	28.3	14.8	23.5	2.6	32.2	3.5	17.8	147.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +88.1%

SAC +0.5%

MIN -38.8%

MIN -6.9%

SAC +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.7	123.8	116.3	100.5
season	14.7	15.6		106.9	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.6		98.4	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.1	16.2	15.1	15.7	14.0	15.4
MIN	13.2	15.1	14.9	19.3	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	87	90	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-10	24	15.0	17.7	-2.74	16.2	11.9	4.32
Peja Stojakovic	86	91	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-5	14	15.2	16.1	-0.83	15.7	15.3	0.41
Bobby Jackson	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	4	-4	15.4	15.3	0.10	17.2	13.9	3.36
Doug Christie	56	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-4	12	15.1	15.7	-0.64	14.3	17.4	-3.10
Mike Bibby	85	87	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	4	-4	15.4	15.1	0.35	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Darius Songaila	36	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-1	6	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.2	14.8	2.38
Vlade Divac	69	71	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	8	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.62	14.7	17.7	-2.93
Gerald Wallace	21	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	7	-10	16.3	15.1	1.17	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Tony Massenburg	10	10	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.03	-9	13	-22	19.1	14.9	4.15	12.2	16.0	-3.83

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	49	49	0.53	-1.03	1.56	-0.15	23	-27	50	14.4	16.8	-2.45	16.5	14.3	2.20
Gary Trent	38	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-6	8	18.3	14.2	4.10	15.1	15.5	-0.34
Sam Cassell	83	82	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-14	24	15.7	15.7	-0.00	15.9	12.9	2.97
Latrell Sprewell	91	89	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.35	8	-12	20	15.0	20.2	-5.13	15.4	15.0	0.40
Trenton Hassell	50	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.8	-0.28	14.8	15.9	-1.12
Keith McLeod	18	15	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	13	-30	16.2	15.5	0.68	12.6	15.8	-3.24
Kevin Garnett	93	90	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	3	-10	15.4	17.8	-2.41	15.6	13.7	1.83
Fred Hoiberg	45	43	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.23	-18	14	-32	15.1	16.1	-1.05	15.2	15.5	-0.26
Mark Madsen	53	50	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.33	-20	16	-36	17.0	14.3	2.73	14.6	16.1	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.47,0.31,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	90.1%
BKN 110, MIA 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.28,0	89.6%
HOU 119, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	89.2%