NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	9.9 [80]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +41.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	3.8 [256]		LVP	Juwan Howard (HOU): -18.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.42	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.4,0.4,0.42	0.07	0.33	-0.01	26	57%	0.42	0	0.00	18	78%	0.05
Bob Sura	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	17	53%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Wesley	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	19	55%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	15	41%	-0.14	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.03	0	0.00	9	100%	0.14
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	13	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.08	-0.13	0.01	20	56%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.08	0.01	18	52%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	11	46%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	31.0	17.5	30.4	2.7	39.0	2.5	20.4	173.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +61.1%

MIN -14.6%

HOU +17.2%

MIN -8.8%

MIN -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	17.0	15.9	15.5	122.7	117.7	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.2	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.8		104.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.4	17.2	18.4	17.2	14.5	17.0
MIN	14.9	16.2	16.6	17.1	14.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	88	86	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-4	14	17.1	15.9	1.22	16.1	14.4	1.73
Juwan Howard	75	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	0	6	16.6	18.3	-1.65	15.3	18.1	-2.78
David Wesley	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.24	9	-3	12	17.0	17.0	0.06	15.1	18.9	-3.84
Bob Sura	74	72	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	3	0	16.6	18.3	-1.71	15.1	18.5	-3.46
Yao Ming	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	0	6	17.8	14.7	3.10	15.9	16.1	-0.24
Clar. Weatherspoon	24	23	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	0	6	17.3	16.9	0.44	18.5	15.2	3.33
Rod Strickland	23	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	3	0	18.3	16.6	1.71	18.5	15.1	3.46
Scott Padgett	8	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	4	-2	18.2	16.9	1.36	19.9	15.6	4.22
Ryan Bowen	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	10.7	17.5	-6.77	12.0	16.3	-4.31
Jon Barry	33	32	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	16.7	17.2	-0.51	17.5	15.2	2.33
Dikembe Mutombo	7	6	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.07	-8	14	-22	16.7	17.0	-0.31	15.5	16.0	-0.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	16	17	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-10	14	15.2	16.1	-0.91	18.2	16.7	1.43
John Thomas	2	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-7	8	10.5	16.1	-5.56	22.3	16.8	5.50
Troy Hudson	30	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	17.9	15.0	2.89	17.5	16.8	0.72
Ervin Johnson	6	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-4	2	15.7	16.0	-0.30	19.0	16.9	2.11
Anthony Carter	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-4	2	0.0	15.9	-15.95	4.0	17.1	-13.14
Fred Hoiberg	22	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-5	4	15.5	16.1	-0.58	17.8	16.8	0.97
Eddie Griffin	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	2	-10	16.6	15.3	1.31	16.5	17.5	-1.03
Trenton Hassell	72	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-4	2	16.2	15.1	1.15	17.8	14.5	3.25
Latrell Sprewell	84	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-1	-4	15.5	18.8	-3.30	16.7	18.9	-2.25
Kevin Garnett	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-4	2	15.7	17.3	-1.57	16.5	20.2	-3.73
Sam Cassell	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.27	-7	1	-8	15.0	17.9	-2.89	16.8	17.5	-0.72
Wally Szczerbiak	51	52	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.29	-9	3	-12	16.6	15.2	1.45	16.8	17.3	-0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0	91.2%
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	90.1%
SAC 125, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.47,0.31,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	89.2%