NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	102		Excitement	10.2 [62]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (VAN): +17.4%
Vancouver Grizzlies	98		Comeback	3.3 [678]		LVP	Bryant Reeves (VAN): -25.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.14	-0.05	0.19	0.00	16	51%	0.21	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.11
Corie Blount	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.01	10	50%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.09	-0.04	0.13	-0.00	19	51%	0.18	2	-0.09	11	82%	0.03
Travis Knight	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
George McCloud	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Byron Scott	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	4	0%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.02	0.19	-0.01	13	55%	0.26	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.06
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	-0.01	11	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Roy Rogers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.08	0.00	11	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Chris Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.10	0.00	4	50%	0.16	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.18
Blue Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Moten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	15	50%	-0.03	6	-0.20	12	75%	-0.01
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	11	50%	-0.13	2	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	29.0	15.6	24.4	2.3	44.4	1.7	13.9	158.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN -18.0%

LAL +23.9%

LAL +9.0%

LAL +29.7%

LAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	VAN	NBA	LAL	VAN	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.6	107.4	102.1	104.4
season	15.3	16.3		105.8	97.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		109.2	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	14.4	16.5	16.7	15.5	21.5	16.2
VAN	14.4	18.6	20.1	15.8	18.3	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	74	76	1.16	-0.66	1.83	0.75	14	-10	24	16.6	14.7	1.94	17.2	16.6	0.59
Nick Van Exel	82	83	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	16.5	14.0	2.52	17.4	15.2	2.27
Elden Campbell	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	16.5	14.7	1.80	17.6	15.3	2.23
Corie Blount	52	51	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.44	-5	9	-14	16.8	15.4	1.47	16.5	17.8	-1.33
Byron Scott	31	31	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	5	-6	17.1	15.7	1.31	15.6	17.8	-2.22
Travis Knight	47	49	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	-2	8	15.4	17.0	-1.62	17.2	17.0	0.18
Sean Rooks	19	20	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	14.7	16.5	-1.80	15.3	17.6	-2.23
Derek Fisher	13	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	14.0	16.5	-2.52	15.2	17.4	-2.27
George McCloud	33	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	14.4	17.1	-2.74	15.9	17.8	-1.82
Jerome Kersey	48	47	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.33	3	1	2	16.2	16.1	0.14	19.3	15.0	4.36

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	37	36	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.30	1	-5	6	17.2	17.0	0.21	15.9	16.3	-0.42
Bryant Reeves	51	51	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-13	22	16.5	17.9	-1.42	16.4	15.9	0.55
Lawrence Moten	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-4	4	15.9	17.3	-1.48	14.5	16.5	-1.95
Aaron Williams	53	51	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	16.0	18.5	-2.53	14.8	17.8	-3.01
Chris Robinson	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-7	10	17.1	17.1	-0.03	16.6	15.9	0.70
Roy Rogers	58	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.22	-3	-1	-2	18.3	15.3	2.93	15.5	17.1	-1.68
Lee Mayberry	81	80	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.39	-4	0	-4	17.3	15.9	1.48	16.5	14.5	1.95
Anthony Peeler	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	4	-12	16.6	18.5	-1.85	16.7	14.7	2.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	65	66	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.41	-10	6	-16	17.9	15.5	2.31	16.3	15.8	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 119, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.32,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.02,0	91.2%
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	90.9%
NJN 106, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.03,0,0	90.0%