NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	106		Excitement	11.7 [22]		MVP	Jayson Williams (NJN): +27.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	6.3 [156]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -45.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Williams	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	12	74%	0.35	3	-0.07	14	71%	-0.01
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Caldwell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	3	83%	0.07	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	19	48%	-0.12	2	-0.03	22	82%	0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	7	33%	-0.10	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.01	4	50%	-0.04	4	-0.19	6	83%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	12	29%	-0.19	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03
Robert Pack	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.48,-0.42,-0.42,-0.31,-0.3,-0.3	-0.09	-0.20	0.02	15	56%	0.03	5	-0.33	13	92%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.03	10	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Duckworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	7	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.05
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	5	56%	0.03	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.06
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	4	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.14	-0.02	11	42%	-0.08	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.06
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.18	-0.07	-0.02	14	21%	-0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.22	0.01	13	52%	-0.00	5	-0.32	5	100%	0.07
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.10	-0.35	0.01	7	29%	-0.36	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	35.2	2.5	27.6	11.7	33.2	1.6	45.2	1.5	25.1	183.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +46.1%

NJN +32.8%

LAC -4.5%

LAC -21.6%

LAC -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAC	NBA	NJN	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	13.6	15.6	91.4	81.2	104.4
season	15.4	15.8		101.7	102.9
opponent	15.1	14.9		105.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	14.3	17.6	12.7	13.3	9.3	13.7
LAC	15.1	12.6	15.0	12.9	11.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	80	81	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.37	18	-7	25	13.9	13.4	0.42	12.5	16.0	-3.56
Kendall Gill	99	98	0.59	-0.10	0.69	0.18	14	-3	17	13.7	13.8	-0.04	13.3	15.2	-1.90
Jayson Williams	99	100	0.58	-0.09	0.67	0.11	16	-5	21	13.3	16.3	-3.00	13.1	16.3	-3.19
Robert Pack	104	105	0.54	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-2	15	13.8	13.1	0.72	13.2	16.5	-3.27
Reggie Williams	34	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	8	-5	15.9	12.8	3.04	14.1	13.3	0.76
Kerry Kittles	85	86	0.12	0.37	-0.25	-0.11	8	3	5	13.0	15.8	-2.83	12.9	15.4	-2.44
Khalid Reeves	12	12	-0.05	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	13	-15	13.1	13.8	-0.72	16.5	13.2	3.27
Ed O'Bannon	14	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.03	-3	14	-17	13.1	13.8	-0.67	18.7	12.9	5.77
Adrian Caldwell	10	10	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	14	-17	11.8	13.9	-2.12	16.2	13.3	2.88
Shawn Bradley	43	43	-0.40	0.89	-1.29	-0.13	-9	20	-29	15.0	13.0	1.94	16.1	12.1	4.00

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	49	50	0.12	-0.61	0.73	0.12	0	-11	11	13.6	13.5	0.12	12.3	14.8	-2.52
Stanley Roberts	32	32	0.12	-0.61	0.73	0.03	3	-14	17	14.7	13.1	1.55	15.1	13.2	1.84
Kevin Duckworth	14	15	0.05	-0.54	0.60	-0.01	2	-13	15	16.3	13.2	3.09	14.0	13.7	0.31
Loy Vaught	66	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	14.4	12.5	1.97	15.6	11.3	4.24
Lorenzen Wright	20	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-9	7	11.9	13.9	-1.95	17.1	13.1	3.93
Rodney Rogers	66	67	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.12	-1	-10	9	15.2	11.4	3.85	14.4	12.8	1.59
Terry Dehere	32	31	-0.18	-0.31	0.12	-0.18	0	-11	11	11.7	14.3	-2.58	15.5	13.1	2.43
Brent Barry	39	39	-0.25	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	11.6	14.6	-2.96	12.1	14.5	-2.42
Pooh Richardson	63	62	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	1	-13	12.6	14.6	-2.01	12.9	14.7	-1.75
Malik Sealy	89	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.05	-14	3	-17	14.2	11.4	2.85	13.2	15.4	-2.14
Bo Outlaw	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.23	-12	1	-13	12.5	14.8	-2.36	12.1	15.7	-3.58
Lamond Murray	52	49	-0.62	0.13	-0.75	-0.18	-15	4	-19	13.4	13.7	-0.32	13.9	13.6	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.26,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.17,0.07,0.15,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0	90.0%
SAC 125, MIN 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.7,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.47,0.31,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.48,0.37,0.1,0.04,0	88.4%
DEN 114, MIA 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.26,0.38,0.52,0.67,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.16,0	88.3%