NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	118		Excitement	11.9 [19]		MVP	Eddy Curry (NYK): +98.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	113		Comeback	453.6 [3]		LVP	Mardy Collins (NYK): -36.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0.98	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.98	0.29	0.75	0.05	20	83%	1.12	4	-0.14	12	67%	-0.05
Nate Robinson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.22	-0.06	0.05	22	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Jerome James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	50%	0.00	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	9	37%	0.03	5	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	6	36%	-0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Mardy Collins	-0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.17,-0.21,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.16	-0.22	-0.01	17	43%	-0.03	7	-0.34	10	60%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.12,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.00	0.37	-0.00	24	52%	0.44	3	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
David Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	14	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lynn Greer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	17	40%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.07,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	24	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.05
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.14	0.01	11	68%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.12	-0.00	8	12%	-0.20	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.6	2.5	29.3	15.7	29.0	2.5	35.1	1.5	14.6	155.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +60.7%

NYK +27.6%

NYK +25.6%

MIL -58.2%

MIL -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	15.4	109.3	103.7	104.5
season	15.7	15.2		103.7	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.4		109.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	14.7	14.8	12.9	17.5	15.6	15.0
MIL	12.5	13.4	17.1	16.2	11.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	62	65	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.76	2	3	-1	15.0	14.8	0.18	13.0	16.4	-3.36
Nate Robinson	99	100	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-7	19	14.9	15.9	-1.02	14.6	11.1	3.54
Channing Frye	29	29	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.38	9	-4	13	14.4	15.2	-0.79	15.4	14.0	1.49
Mardy Collins	105	104	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-3	11	15.0	12.0	3.04	14.4	13.4	1.00
Eddy Curry	103	103	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	6	-7	15.1	11.2	3.94	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Jared Jeffries	83	84	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.11	13	-8	21	14.6	16.2	-1.62	15.5	10.4	5.08
Jerome James	6	6	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	16.7	14.9	1.81	9.5	14.6	-5.14
David Lee	7	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	16	-27	16.9	14.8	2.04	6.6	14.9	-8.32
Renaldo Balkman	46	47	-0.73	1.23	-1.95	-0.49	-8	13	-21	15.0	15.0	0.00	14.7	14.1	0.68

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	66	66	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-8	11	13.1	16.2	-3.10	14.7	15.3	-0.58
David Noel	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-3	1	15.8	14.2	1.69	13.6	15.1	-1.52
Earl Boykins	49	49	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	15.7	13.3	2.39	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Jared Reiner	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	2	-9	17.7	13.7	4.03	12.2	15.6	-3.39
Lynn Greer	10	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	17.3	14.1	3.24	18.3	14.6	3.69
Mo Williams	80	80	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	13.3	17.2	-3.93	15.2	14.1	1.09
Charlie Bell	90	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	14.4	14.3	0.05	15.0	14.8	0.19
Ersan Ilyasova	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.5	14.3	0.19	16.4	13.8	2.60
Michael Redd	85	84	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	14.0	15.6	-1.62	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Ruben Patterson	86	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	1	-7	14.5	13.8	0.67	14.9	15.0	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 102, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.27,0.32,0.22,0.43,0.58,0.46,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.03,0	90.9%
SAS 104, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.02,0,0	90.6%
GSW 100, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.42,0	90.5%