NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	11.9 [18]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +36.5%
Golden State Warriors	107		Comeback	7.3 [85]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -30.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.36	0.04	0.32	-0.00	22	68%	0.53	6	-0.17	12	75%	-0.02
Darius Songaila	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.01	14	56%	0.18	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.08
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.05	0.01	12	36%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.10	-0.20	0.00	18	41%	-0.23	3	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	2	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	19	45%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.03,-0.12,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.07	0.00	26	59%	0.03	2	-0.05	11	45%	-0.28
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	9	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	42%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	0.02	-0.32	0.00	16	50%	-0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	1.8	30.3	16.6	23.1	1.7	30.1	2.5	18.2	145.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +52.9%

SAC +29.4%

GSW -13.1%

GSW -15.3%

GSW -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.5	15.5	15.5	107.8	104.9	104.0
season	14.7	15.0		108.1	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		104.7	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	15.9	17.8	13.7	15.6	13.6	15.5
GSW	15.4	12.2	17.0	18.7	13.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	97	95	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-7	18	15.3	19.3	-4.05	15.8	11.7	4.08
Matt Barnes	90	88	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.44	7	-3	10	15.2	17.4	-2.14	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Mike Bibby	98	96	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-4	12	15.3	20.0	-4.71	15.4	17.8	-2.47
Darius Songaila	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-3	10	15.3	16.7	-1.46	16.1	12.8	3.29
Maurice Evans	81	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	1	2	15.3	16.2	-0.85	16.0	13.3	2.69
Michael Bradley	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	16.7	15.3	1.46	12.8	16.1	-3.29
Kevin Martin	18	17	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	7	-10	16.7	15.3	1.46	12.8	16.1	-3.29
Eddie House	22	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	7	-10	17.3	15.0	2.29	16.9	15.1	1.76
Greg Ostertag	6	7	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.02	-7	11	-18	19.3	15.3	4.05	11.7	15.8	-4.08

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	30	34	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-4	4	14.0	16.1	-2.14	14.4	16.1	-1.65
Zarko Cabarkapa	21	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	0	-4	15.0	15.7	-0.70	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Adonal Foyle	47	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-5	6	16.0	15.1	0.95	16.8	14.5	2.36
Dale Davis	54	56	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	15.3	15.7	-0.41	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Eduardo Najera	81	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-4	4	15.7	15.0	0.70	15.6	15.1	0.55
Mike Dunleavy	89	88	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.40	3	-7	10	15.4	16.2	-0.83	16.1	12.2	3.88
Calbert Cheaney	20	20	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.06	-9	5	-14	14.6	15.7	-1.13	12.9	16.1	-3.18
Jason Richardson	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-3	2	15.9	13.7	2.18	16.0	13.6	2.38
Derek Fisher	85	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.33	-7	3	-10	15.8	14.0	1.81	15.2	17.3	-2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 99, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.54,0.55,0.46,0.67,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.77,0.28,0	87.7%
ATL 97, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.37,0.32,0.09,0.46,0.45,0.71,0.45,0.43,0	86.8%
LAL 112, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.26,0	86.6%